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nobody has a crystal ball but this is my current vibe: 12-18 more months of this bull cycle fed will cut rates, we will likely rip this fall, will likely continue through 2026, intensity and price heavily dependent on macro most new people will buy bitcoin penny stocks rather than real bitcoin because of x influencers at some point most participants will believe this time is different, that we have entered a supercycle people will then get greedy and overleverage themselves, take increasing risk blow off top and and a great unwind mstr will probably be fine, most bitcoin penny stocks rekt, a few may get caught in fraud, there will be a narrative that mstr is going to sell, which will drive panic bottom of the next bear will likely settle over $100k stay humble and stack sats

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Can nostr survive this?? I'm determined to be the last human posting on nostr.
ODELL's avatar ODELL
nobody has a crystal ball but this is my current vibe: 12-18 more months of this bull cycle fed will cut rates, we will likely rip this fall, will likely continue through 2026, intensity and price heavily dependent on macro most new people will buy bitcoin penny stocks rather than real bitcoin because of x influencers at some point most participants will believe this time is different, that we have entered a supercycle people will then get greedy and overleverage themselves, take increasing risk blow off top and and a great unwind mstr will probably be fine, most bitcoin penny stocks rekt, a few may get caught in fraud, there will be a narrative that mstr is going to sell, which will drive panic bottom of the next bear will likely settle over $100k stay humble and stack sats
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I don't understand what you mean. There's nothing more reliable over the long term than Bitcoin secured by energy and time through global consensus. There is variation in linear price levels that seem massive, but when looked at exponentially those variations are very small and the general trend is clear. More will continue to adopt. More mining efforts will arise, increasing the hashrate and value. More will begin to accept it for exchange. And so on. Bitcoin is winning, it's only a matter of time until you realize it.
Yeah I know - this was more of a funny side joke. Of course right now people will set the Price connected to the conversion rate to Fiat. But how else should an emerging new Money System evolve? This will change with time ๐Ÿ™‚ But there are already (very few) people living and paying only in Bitcoin. Itโ€˜s not their fault the sellers of products connect the Bitcoin price to the Fiat price. So these bitcoiners already live in a Bitcoin Standard.
I purchase bulk bulbs from a wholesaler, my seeds from small business, my inputs are compost & free wood chips. this is my third season so many perennials are just starting to flower a bit. We specialize in flowers that dont travel well like Snap dragons and dahlias. My side goal is to get into dried herbs as they store & ship well. Follow #farmupdate for more
> Bitcoin and network effect? - Check A network for a currency would be a circular economy of buyers and sellers. There's no such thing. > Controlling Money Supply in Bitcoin? - Check Controlling doesn't mean limiting. It means the supply can be increased or decreased to match the goods and services on offer. The supply of Bitcoin can not be decreased and not be increased above 21m. > Control of supply in goods and Services in circulation and offer is NOT needed (wtf?!?!). โ€” Nowhere did I say "control of supply in goods and services". We live in a free world and can offer as much or as little as we like. However the supply of money has to roughly match the supply of goods and services for prices to be stable. > Otherwise gold would not function at all. It doesn't. There are as many shops doing business in gold as there are in Bitcoin. None. > So honest question: What is the Problem again? The above.
Sry sent by mistakeโ€ฆ All I can say is: How can you deny the network effect? This is just plain naive. Bitcoin Adoption is growing everywhere. Circular Economy is not here - YET. Bit you know what? This is exactly how a Network effect would come in place. It doesnโ€˜t make a big โ€žBANGโ€œ and everything is there at once. Instead naturally growing - thatโ€™s exactly whats happening now. Monetary Supply has NOT to be decreased or lowered to match goods and services. If you believe so I donโ€˜t think we can come to a common sense ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ. In the past humanity used Gold coins. The Problem with that was not the fact that the Gold coin Supply couldnโ€˜t be increased fast. (First time I would hear this argument) The Problem was the divisibility, the transferability and that it could be altered with (which was done a lot) But all of these points are solved by Bitcoin. So again - I donโ€˜t see your arguments. In my view they are plain wrong ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ. So I guess: agree to disagree? But I would love to have this conversation again in 5 years! Especially regarding the newtwork effect ๐Ÿ˜Š.
Governments are creating Bitcoin reservesโ€ฆ Companies are building Bitcoin treasuriesโ€ฆ Sovereign wealth funds are calling Bitcoin the new 60/40 portfolio modelโ€ฆ โ€ฆall while Bitcoinโ€™s price is stagnant, barely 50% up from the 2021 highs. If this was XRP, weโ€™d be trolling the hell out of it. Instead, we get cope like this trending. ๐Ÿซ  View quoted note โ†’
But what about the political landscape? Do we have an Organs Congress? #asknostr
ODELL's avatar ODELL
nobody has a crystal ball but this is my current vibe: 12-18 more months of this bull cycle fed will cut rates, we will likely rip this fall, will likely continue through 2026, intensity and price heavily dependent on macro most new people will buy bitcoin penny stocks rather than real bitcoin because of x influencers at some point most participants will believe this time is different, that we have entered a supercycle people will then get greedy and overleverage themselves, take increasing risk blow off top and and a great unwind mstr will probably be fine, most bitcoin penny stocks rekt, a few may get caught in fraud, there will be a narrative that mstr is going to sell, which will drive panic bottom of the next bear will likely settle over $100k stay humble and stack sats
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