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nobody has a crystal ball but this is my current vibe: 12-18 more months of this bull cycle fed will cut rates, we will likely rip this fall, will likely continue through 2026, intensity and price heavily dependent on macro most new people will buy bitcoin penny stocks rather than real bitcoin because of x influencers at some point most participants will believe this time is different, that we have entered a supercycle people will then get greedy and overleverage themselves, take increasing risk blow off top and and a great unwind mstr will probably be fine, most bitcoin penny stocks rekt, a few may get caught in fraud, there will be a narrative that mstr is going to sell, which will drive panic bottom of the next bear will likely settle over $100k stay humble and stack sats

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Regardless of the sentiment’s accuracy, the two most important words here are the two most likely to be overlooked. The mind will naturally wander along the optimistic route looking for confirmation from those with clout while ignoring the risks along the way. Leverage, for institutional and retail investors, should be understood before deployed. Particularly for the latter, as it will become incredibly easy to ignore the severity of not doing so as numbers rise and blinders become cemented. Those will be the ones returning to this post wondering how they forgot to stay humble.
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Governments are creating Bitcoin reserves… Companies are building Bitcoin treasuries… Sovereign wealth funds are calling Bitcoin the new 60/40 portfolio model… …all while Bitcoin’s price is stagnant, barely 50% up from the 2021 highs. If this was XRP, we’d be trolling the hell out of it. Instead, we get cope like this trending. 🫠 View quoted note →
But what about the political landscape? Do we have an Organs Congress? #asknostr
ODELL's avatar ODELL
nobody has a crystal ball but this is my current vibe: 12-18 more months of this bull cycle fed will cut rates, we will likely rip this fall, will likely continue through 2026, intensity and price heavily dependent on macro most new people will buy bitcoin penny stocks rather than real bitcoin because of x influencers at some point most participants will believe this time is different, that we have entered a supercycle people will then get greedy and overleverage themselves, take increasing risk blow off top and and a great unwind mstr will probably be fine, most bitcoin penny stocks rekt, a few may get caught in fraud, there will be a narrative that mstr is going to sell, which will drive panic bottom of the next bear will likely settle over $100k stay humble and stack sats
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