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matt & co’s theory of how public opinion on immigration would respond to new information was simply empirically wrong. at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o... https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreigltkjoio73jjhei65yokywhxeetlmj7etpergyrgvl7dkdbghq4y https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreicnkohplmuncjdqag44phyp7b3z5kzx4kt22lfj2mx3jovopve2la

What the Democrats can learn from the UK Labour Party's complete implosion after moving right on immigration www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o... https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreibj3sug5vx6ybso6dimief2pleexhvzoirzm6cmiw3u2fui4ceoye https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreibbd3fx3epjdpsldqjzrwkwcnrst5we5mucvhbtlhqwczwv32yn5m https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreicluluk7yiquurs2tb3ndqoxuvlqvx6vohr2ojpyzgjukv3ar4pam

Earlier this year, Matt Yglesias and Hakeem Jeffries urged progressives to shut up about immigration and Kilmar Abrego Garcia. Yglesias said "bad groups" were pushing Dems left on immigration and would help Trump's numbers. How did they get this so wrong? www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o... The cost of playing defense on...