I'm not sure I should write down these thoughts right now while I'm not sure about them, but if you are reading this apparently I did.
I think nostr may already be doomed for two reasons. And as a result of that, if I conclude as such, it would make sense to start working on a successor protocol. I've been taking some notes about what we should change if we started over, but that's the extent of it, I'm not working on a successor protocol. I'm only working on nostr. So don't misinterpret this note, which just represents some thoughts I've been having.
Reason one is the misaligned incentives of note copying. The incentives are to copy your notes to every relay you can, blast them out everywhere, to get more reach. That incentive doesn't go away until and unless all the clients do the outbox model. But they don't have an incentive to change, and there are people who don't give a fuck about fixing this and argue against fixing it and argue for note copying, and there is no way in a free society to make them care. So we can never fix this, and nostr will always be centralized in practice and never what it could have been. That means nostr is doomed and unfixable and we should make sure to start differently next time so this doesn't happen again.
Reason two is that the seed culture of nostr was far too monolithic: bitcoiners. What a culture develops into probably depends on how diverse its seed was. It's quite hard to get people onto nostr unless they are at least very bitcoin tolerant. Most people (yes, I think most) are put off by so much bitcoin promotion and related posts. Certainly people can follow anybody they want, and make their own independent cultures, perhaps even on a disjoint set of relays. But this isn't likely to happen due to the law of large numbers - there are far more ways for them to encounter and interact with the nest of bitcoiners then to not encounter and interact with them.
These are thoughts I'm entirely unsure about. Maybe I'm wrong in both cases. These are my worries.
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It is not Nostr βdestinyβ to be diverse, nor it is the current tendency. It depends on the early adopters workβ¦ Time by itself -as suggested- works in both ways. Nostr can for sure become more bitcoin radical and βknownβ for hosting bitcoin centric people in which case itβs not doomed but will be the protocol of the bitcoin tribe and thatβs ok (which is not the promise/ideal I think but totally possible) It will depend on how welcoming the network is, over time, how much interesting content on other topics exclusive to the network, etc.
You raise 2 good points.
I'm not sure about the model and technicalities but I would like to address the other point:
What if Nostr is a bitcoiners only club? What if we are in this closed loop echo chamber, with little tolerance for anybody non-bitcoin?
The thing Nostr needs the most is to be attacked and to ossify in time. Time will carry enough events (life events) that at any given point a tsunami of people can come suddenly looking for shelter. The protocol allows for them to come in.
I doubt that day never comes.
Having said that, I KNOW we are not very well like by the general population, and will increasingly be disliked since the propaganda of the fiat-bodies will rely on this exact premise.
Just like bitcoin - this all depends on how much freedom is each person's priority.
Also... Theres a good chance humanity will be wiped out in the next few months, years. Noone is doing anything about it, the new generation doesn't know how to fight, the neocons don't have a reverse gear.... I don't see us getting out of this without nuclear war
At that point, if there's anything left, maybe personal computers and lora networks running rudimentary relays, may be of some interest.
We will survive nuclear war.
I'm excited to see what other currently top-secret weapons will be used. I bet that's why governments are so gung-ho for war, they are excited to use their new secret tech and see how destructive it really is! Wheeeeeee! π
Spotify
#420 β Annie Jacobsen: Nuclear War, CIA, KGB, Aliens, Area 51, Roswell & Secrecy
Lex Fridman Podcast Β· Episode
Such a great episode. Global strategy on nuclear war is nothing short of maniacal.
I read her book on area 51. She really deep dives, interviews tons of people who worked there. Was so good. Might take a look at the nuclear war one, but sounds depressing.
She is definitely a rabbit hole person, and I like that.
The war is the easy part to survive. Nuclear winter on the other hand... βοΈ
@jb55 what did you think about that bit how the Rosswell incident supposedly was a Russian craft?
Was wild that she revealed her source to this in this podcast. I put a higher probability to this than actual aliens. I doubt advanced aliens would come all this way and be dumb enough to crash on the planet.
If it's interstellar lifeforms an intentional crash is more likely. But still very unlikely compared to any explanation orchestrated by humans.
- with clients like yours that only allow to follow people, with no 'trending' or #hashtag feeds, the monoculture or excessive promotions do not matter because the user only sees what he wants to see.
- yes, note copying does not scale. Some distributed systems model must be enforced, I am not even sure it exists.
But another alternative to doom is to become practically divided into clusters of relays, separated by language or other issues. Not by enforcement of any mechanism, just because everybody who matters about this topic on this language will end up publising in the same relays.
Wait, they're using a nostr client that doesn't follow hashtags?
Lol... no wonder they're having a boring experience on nostr. π
And what's the point of having a client that can't follow hashtags? Like, it's hashtags that make the experience. It's hashtags that expose you to more people and ideas about a topic than just the people you follow.
I never used ANY social network until the fraudemic forced me to follow people as the only possible source of info.
"trending topics" will often reflect whatever pervertion, distraction, or stupidity is trending on mainstream society or even worse, mainstream midia, and does not interest me at all.
Those are a problems ? XD
I don't see point 1 as a structural problem and I believe it will be solved in practice.
I wholeheartedly agree with point 2 though. I think one of biggest contributors to that could have been "zaps". Before that, nostr and bitcoin were totally decoupled protocol wise. It should never have been a NIP. It forever cemented nostr as a "bitcoiner" thing.
I'm not sure I should write down these thoughts right now while I'm not sure about them, but if you are reading this apparently I did.
I think nostr may already be doomed for two reasons. And as a result of that, if I conclude as such, it would make sense to start working on a successor protocol. I've been taking some notes about what we should change if we started over, but that's the extent of it, I'm not working on a successor protocol. I'm only working on nostr. So don't misinterpret this note, which just represents some thoughts I've been having.
Reason one is the misaligned incentives of note copying. The incentives are to copy your notes to every relay you can, blast them out everywhere, to get more reach. That incentive doesn't go away until and unless all the clients do the outbox model. But they don't have an incentive to change, and there are people who don't give a fuck about fixing this and argue against fixing it and argue for note copying, and there is no way in a free society to make them care. So we can never fix this, and nostr will always be centralized in practice and never what it could have been. That means nostr is doomed and unfixable and we should make sure to start differently next time so this doesn't happen again.
Reason two is that the seed culture of nostr was far too monolithic: bitcoiners. What a culture develops into probably depends on how diverse its seed was. It's quite hard to get people onto nostr unless they are at least very bitcoin tolerant. Most people (yes, I think most) are put off by so much bitcoin promotion and related posts. Certainly people can follow anybody they want, and make their own independent cultures, perhaps even on a disjoint set of relays. But this isn't likely to happen due to the law of large numbers - there are far more ways for them to encounter and interact with the nest of bitcoiners then to not encounter and interact with them.
These are thoughts I'm entirely unsure about. Maybe I'm wrong in both cases. These are my worries.
View quoted note →
I know your concern. I'm sure most people would worry about the second point.
The first point is not a problem, it is just that you are the faster client developer. Other developers are catching up.
The second point I think is the unique advantage of Nostr. I've talked to most of my friends and the people who haven't been censored and the people who hold shitcoins don't care about decentralized censorship-resistant social networks at all. Only Bitcoin holders pay attention. Bitcoin talent is Nostr's strongest foundation. We are now building censorship resistant networks that are easy to use. Just like Bitcoin in 2009, very few people paid attention at first. We're just getting started, but we're already growing a lot faster than Bitcoin.
I think there's something else we should be worried about. How can we create a client on Nostr's decentralized network that is different, but better, simpler, and more engaging than traditional social networks? That's the hard part, and that's one of the things Nostr should be breaking through. The average user does not choose Nostr because it is censor-resistant. That's what we need to work on.
everything is doomed and nothing lasts forever
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The second one resonates with me. Iβm orange AF but Iβm trying to spread other interests because Bitcoin enabled me to do what i love.
The crowd here is narrow minded in a sense and itβs hard to find let say other travel enthusiasts ( just one example).
The network effect in the #bitcoin world kinda happened but thatβs it. Feels like mastodon: full of lefties crying wolf about Twitter - just from the other aisle.
thanks for your worries ππ½
nostr can feel like a never ending loop of bitcoin/sovereignty related content, but isnβt it so cool weβre all here for the same values?
i think proper community outreach helps with discovering other types of content.
it really, reallyy, helps to browse universe for pages to follow. just push through the weird stuff and mute lol.
for your first reason, iβm not a dev, so i canβt tell you much about helping w the relay thing, but itβs important to put trust that these tools are being built.
we just need to support our devs, and inspire more to help open this protocol to what it will be!
π€π½
Well that would be ironic. People visiting a non-exclusive uncensored platform where anyone can say anything, feel excluded because 'it's all just bitcoiners'.
Why is that ironic?
What was the seed culture of the internet? What is internet culture now?
The bitcoin and nostr circle jerk is wild. If you mute the words "bitcoin", " lightning" and "zap" the content becomes sparse. You can't mute "nostr" without wiping out nostr. build stuff.
I like bitcoin, I nostr, but I'd like to hear about other things. I just haven't seen any signs of that happening. I think the alleged TikTok influx was made up bullshit.
I agree that the monolithic culture is a problem, but I don't see why people sending notes to many relays would be a problem.
while bitcoin monoculture is not great Im more worried it will over time become onlyfans spamming culture and then... die for real for anyone else who isnt constantly excited by this montenous crap.
However... please.for the love of anti social engeneerung we see everywhere else ...don't start the usual invites by insert group this or that here.
Because if we start pushing various groups to join ... then the wars about meaningless garbage start. and they usually don't end until the platform is dead too. At least with bitcoin monoculture it was a natural one and therefore feels at home.
your 2nd concern is just a matter of time. eventually, everyone will be a bitcoiner and it won't be as interesting to talk about
If we start investing now on clients that are dedicated to relays as first-class citizens, community relays, niche relays, then things might change and we might see more of these relays popping and more people organizing themselves around relays and less around the big generic feed.
The big generic feed cannot die and must not be abandoned, and the outbox model is still a crucial part of having that work correctly, but semi-closed communities around relays is a natural thing that may solve the two problems you raised.
heard you clear. sounds very interesting.
There is no such thing as a "nostr".
Only dumb relay, smart client architecture.
Build bridges and don't worry about standards - they build themselves.
It's likely that clients don't implement the outbox model because it's expensive to do so. And there are no (or at least very few) open-source libraries, APIs, or other such tools that solve the problem in a way that's reusable between clients.
I'm working on a solution by developing a C++ SDK for Nostr clients. In time, other devs will likely do the same for other languages. In time it will support the outbox model.
Nostr needs infrastructure like this, and we need to find a way to monetize it effectively. There are only so many people who will do the work for free.
that second point I'd an argument I've had about every decentralized social network for the last 10 years. it's also been encoded my profile description since day one.
oof ... fat fingered that reply π«
Followed!
It seems many of the best open-source projects are a spin-off of closed-source work that makes money. So, it would seem, Nostr needs projects that actually earn some revenue. Right now, it's basically run as a charity.
I disagree. You say nostr is centralized but its not, its distributed with many relays.
You say nostr is monolithic (ie: bitcoiners). First of all its not, many people join nostr who dont care about bitcoin or are not interested in it.
Also, Bitcoiner tend to understand the concept of decentralization naturally, what better group spearhead adoption? We already have experience with naysayers and who to waste time on or not.
nostr is doomed? its the first distributed social media out there we ever head.
Dont have so much anxiety about nostr. Nostr will be fine.
Worry about getting fresh air and staying healthy :)
Let's start working on a successor protocol. In doing so, we may figure out the flaws that nostr have, or things that can be improved. I have been meaning to write about what I would do if I were to reinvent nostr from scratch, but we can do a proper protocol specification itself. No one needs to implement it of course, it will just be an exercise for us
Generally, we won't even think about suggesting certain changes to nostr because they will be breaking changes, or because there is already another way of doing that thing (even if the new method is more efficient). But if we start designing from scratch, we don't have those creative limitations
My advice: Take notes. Don't work on it.
Sure, there are a dozen things I would do differently if starting over including using a different elliptic curve, pushing for binary packets, giving relays identities, negotiating new features in-protocol, event kinds being bitflags, having slightly more composibility in some places, etc. But nothing about the way it is now breaks things signficantly.
If you think there is going to be a successor protocol, would you pour your heart and soul into the next nostr project? Probably not. I don't think nostr is broken, so it doesn't require fixing. I'm all-in on nostr, including starting a new project soon.
Reason 2: is a false construct. The seed culture is not bitcoiners. The seed culture is people who understand freedom, open source, and technology. Which is a subset of Bitcoiners *only incidentally*. It is the only seed culture that can be. Anything else would also be a 'false construct,' some attempt to represent what isn't for people who aren't.