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Many will be familiar with the concept of "Controlled opposition" when it comes to politics. Controlled opposition refers to an individual that appears to be part of a movement but is actually working against its interests. So, Controlled Opposition = Safe Opposition. However, the concept doesn't apply just to politics - it also applies to finance. The next logical question is: - If self-custody Bitcoin used as a medium of exchange is the real threat to the system, what are the main "Controlled opposition" assets? The TLDR: If the real threat is sovereign, self-custodied Bitcoin used as money, the main "controlled-opposition" assets are those that: 1) scratch the same itch (store of value/digital convenience), 2) live on rails the system controls (KYC, custodian choke-points, halt switches, derivatives plumbing), 3) pull mind-share and flows away from self-custody. So let's look at what functionally acts as "controlled opposition" to Bitcoin-as-money 1) Spot Bitcoin ETFs / futures ETPs / broker wrappers / treasury companies - Why: Satisfies "I want Bitcoin" inside supervised custody (halts, KYC, AP/MM control). Price exposure without keys. - Divert: Normalizes paper claims; self-custody becomes niche. 2) Stablecoins & tokenized Treasuries (USD rails) - Why: Feels "crypto", settles fast, but is centrally stoppable and ID-bound; reinforces USD/Treasury primacy. - Divert: People do "crypto payments" without touching Bitcoin as MOE (Medium of Exchange). 3) ETH + L2/"Web3 compute" with compliance defaults - Why: Captures the "programmable money" mind-share; sequencers/validators and major front-ends are policy-sensitive and OFAC-aligned. - Divert: Builders and users focus on "platform tech", not sovereign money; payments route through KYC endpoints. 4) Gold (esp. via ETFs/vaulted products) - Why: Absorbs "hard-money" demand inside custodian oligopolies; no parallel payments rail. - Divert: People hedge with gold instead of adopting Bitcoin for spend/settlement. 5) AI mega-caps & the power stack (chips, hyperscalers, data centers) - Why: Dominates narrative and capital budgets; policy-blessed growth captures risk capital. - Divert: "Future upside" shifts to AI equities instead of monetary sovereignty. 6) Meme-coins/alt-L1 manias on KYC venues - Why: Soaks up speculative energy; easy to list/delist; risk stays in pipes with kill-switches. - Divert: Attention rotates; Bitcoin's monetary focal point dilutes. 7) CBDCs & digital-ID money (the end-state substitute) - Why: Institutionalizes programmable compliance; gives the convenience Bitcoin can't match under KYC. - Divert: Everyday payments default to CBDC rails; Bitcoin remains "asset class". To de-fang Bitcoin-as-money, the Controllers oversupply substitutes that feel "hard", "digital", "innovative", or "yieldy" - but live in supervised pipes. What the Controllers know that most Bitcoiners don't: - permissionless technology ≠ permissionless adoption 🚨 REMINDER: write about investment implications/incentives.

Replies (2)

It's kind of crazy to think that the main reason the Controllers let gold run is because: - It soaks up SoV (Store of Value) demand without enabling a parallel payments rail. - It's traded via custodian oligopolies (OTC/COMEX/ETFs), easy to steer with derivatives/custody. Central-bank buying gives it an official halo. The brilliant effect is: "Hard money" crowd gets relief inside supervised pipes; attention is diverted away from Bitcoin's unique monetary case. View quoted note →
Bitcoin is controlled opposition to Monero just as gold is controlled opposition to Bitcoin. Like PsyOps controlled opposition can be nested within each other to hide truth or a disruptive social/financial movement. Self-custody + privacy is indeed the real opposition to the hypersurveilled CBDC ID world.