Thread

Replies (94)

I wish you were that concerned with the CSAM upgrade that was shipped by a handful of guys two months ago, despite the enormous opposition of the broad community. Unfortunately, as it is always with you OG influensooors, itโ€™s only the obvious attacks that needs to be addressed, not the sneaky and smart ones. ๐Ÿ˜ฉ
I say let him try to fork. Good luck forming any kind of consensus on when exactly to freeze coins ahead of a threat that will necessarily not have actually yet materialized (or it will have been too late). If such a worldwide consensus did manage to form, I would die on the minority chain. I just don't see it as particularly plausible.
Thinking about this some more. Matt, let's assume your proposed solution gets implemented, and new quantum resistant addresses are created through a soft fork. It's tested in the wild over time and no coins are frozen. It's voluntary. Some people move, some don't, and some coins are dead and can't move. Then quantum hits. Someone with a quantum computer start grabbing all the remaining coins, including Satoshi's. They then move those coins over to the quantum resistant addresses. Is that the best option? Giving the quantum guys all that corn? Plus it could be a government. I don't have an answer to this question, but having some sort of cutoff date before quantum hits doesn't seem completely crazy given the alternative. I will admit however that coming to consensus on a cutoff date would seem nearly impossible.
I generally like Saylor, but I get real uneasy when he takes philosophical positions I donโ€™t agree with, especially because so many people seem to follow his lead without a second thought. Even scrolling through the comments, there are a few too many who donโ€™t appear to have fully thought through the implications of freezing coins. Fear is a powerful drug.
"Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming nakedโ€ - quote Warren Buffet Ref. @ODELL's poll: โ€œwhatโ€™s more likely? 1) satoshiโ€™s coin is stolen by a quantum attacker 2) saylorโ€™s coin is stolen by the us govโ€ โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€” Mass withdrawals from Coinbase-IOUโ€™s, into self custody freedom money, would in effect be a bank run on Coinbase to โ€œdiscover who's been swimming naked.โ€ Bank runs can happen quickly on issuers of Bitcoin-IOUโ€™s from custodians like FTX, Mt. Gox, Coinbase, Celsius, BlockFi etc. Ask yourself. What would happen if the following categories started mass withdrawals for Coinbase-IOUโ€™s on Sunday evening? โ€ข plebs โ€ข @Michael Saylor โ€ข freedom fighters โ€ข โ€œStrategyโ€ AKA $MSTR โ€ข every other major BTC โ€œTreasuryโ€ Company โ€ข11/12 US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, except Fidelity / $FBTC, which, according to them self, practices self custody. What would happen with the BTC-price denominated in filthy fiat currencies, after the Coinbase bank run? But remember what @Jeff Booth have tried to teach you in 21+ Bitcoin-podcast interviews: โ€œYou canโ€™t measure the system, from within the systemโ€ โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€” โ€œNot your keys not your coinsโ€๐Ÿ”‘ View quoted note โ†’ View quoted note โ†’ View quoted note โ†’ View quoted note โ†’ View quoted note โ†’
Letโ€™s face it. If quantum proofing is going to work, then addresses that donโ€™t move are going to be vulnerable. If you give everybody 2 years to move coins to quantum proof addresses, and some donโ€™t move, you have to figure those people lost their keys, are dead, or not interested. Either way those coins are gone for them forever. Lock them so they canโ€™t be stolen.
I haven't listened to a Saylor interviews for some time now, but I feel like every interview I've watched with him he says at least one retarded thing. Last interview I watched, he seemed to think bitcoin was centralized because developers could just merge code at will, and because of that we shouldn't support them financially, because ossification would be preferred. He does seem to learn and change his tune, at least early on. I have mad respect for that though.
I donโ€™t believe he was really advocating on this particular clip. Sounds more like talking shit about future hypotheticals with the assumption that type of fork is approved by the community and happens. Perhaps other parts of the conversation would change my perspective. Respectfully ๐Ÿซก
I am confused with the problem. Satoshi advocated for changing the encryption should the need arise. Satoshi advocated for pruning nodes in the white paper. Satoshi advocated for self sovereignty by having every holder (and probably miner) be a node. You will have to be alive to be a node. If an upgrade burns a dead man's coins it is not confiscation. If they are alive, but fall asleep at the wheel then they deserve to be locked out. What am I missing?
Sorry for hijacking your thread. Iโ€™m sure itโ€™s important but thereโ€™s a genocide happening and I donโ€™t care โ€œ<think> Okay, this user is drilling down into the legal accountability of Israel. They've moved from questioning civilian definitions to asking whether Israel is bound by international humanitarian law (IHL). This shows they're connecting systemic issues to legal frameworks. The question is deceptively simple but has layers. Israel is a state party to the Geneva Conventions, so technically yes - but the real issue is enforcement and application. Looking back at the conversation history, the user consistently challenges Israel's legitimacy and actions. They seem skeptical about whether international law truly constrains Israel, given what they perceive as impunity for violations. Key points to address: 1) Israel's formal acceptance of IHL treaties 2) Documented violations by UN/international bodies 3) The enforcement gap - why violations persist despite legal obligations 4) How Palestinian rights fit into this framework I should emphasize that being party to IHL doesn't equate to compliance - many states violate treaties they've signed. The critical issue is the lack of consequences through UN mechanisms due to geopolitical realities. The user likely wants confirmation that Israel violates IHL with impunity, but I must maintain legal precision while acknowledging their frustration. This means distinguishing between legal obligations versus political obstacles to enforcement. Notable that they didn't ask "does Israel comply" but "is Israel part of" - suggesting they may be questioning Israel's place in the international legal order itself. That requires careful handling - sovereignty isn't conditional on compliance. </think> Israel is **legally bound by international humanitarian law (IHL)** as a sovereign state and party to key treaties. Hereโ€™s a clear breakdown of its obligations and compliance: ### **1. Israelโ€™s Legal Commitments** - **Geneva Conventions (1949)**: Israel ratified all four conventions, which govern: - Protection of civilians in conflict (Fourth Geneva Convention). - Treatment of prisoners and wounded (Firstโ€“Third Conventions). - **Additional Protocols**: Israel signed **Protocol I** (international conflicts) but has not ratified it. However, many provisions reflect customary international law binding on all states. - **Other Treaties**: Israel ratified the Genocide Convention, Convention Against Torture, and core human rights covenants (ICCPR, ICESCR). ### **2. Where Israel Violates IHL** The UN, ICRC, and international courts document systematic violations in occupied Palestinian territories: | **IHL Principle** | **Israelโ€™s Violations** | **Legal Source** | |-------------------|--------------------------|------------------| | **Distinction** (Art. 48, AP I) | Indiscriminate strikes in Gaza; use of human shields (2023 reports) | UN Commission of Inquiry (2024), Amnesty International | | **Proportionality** (Art. 51(5)(b), AP I) | Mass civilian casualties (e.g., 200:1 death ratio in Gaza) | ICRC, UN OCHA | | **Collective Punishment** (Art. 33, GC IV) | Gaza blockade, withholding aid, mass home demolitions | ICJ Order (Jan 26, 2024), UNSC Res 1860 | | **Settlements** (Art. 49(6), GC IV) | Transfer of civilians into occupied West Bank | ICJ Advisory Opinion (2004), UNSC Res 2334 | | **Apartheid** | Systematic oppression of Palestinians | Amnesty (2022), HRW (2021), UN ESCWA (2017) | ### **3. Israelโ€™s Position on IHL** - **Selective Application**: Israel argues the West Bank/Gaza are โ€œdisputed,โ€ not occupied, to evade Fourth Geneva Convention obligations โ€“ a stance rejected by the ICJ, UN, and ICRC. - **Non-Compliance with ICJ**: Defied provisional measures to prevent genocide (e.g., continued blocking of aid, mass displacement in Rafah). - **Rejection of ICC Jurisdiction**: Disputes the courtโ€™s authority over Palestine, though ICC ruled it has jurisdiction (2021). ### **4. Enforcement Challenges** - **Veto Protection**: The U.S. has shielded Israel from binding UN Security Council sanctions. - **Lack of Domestic Accountability**: > 90% of IDF misconduct complaints in Gaza (2014) closed without indictment (Israeli NGO Bโ€™Tselem). - **ICC Action**: The Prosecutor is seeking arrest warrants for PM Netanyahu and Defense Minister Gallant for war crimes (May 2024). ### **Conclusion** Israel is **formally part of the IHL system** but **systematically violates it** in occupied territories. Key points: 1. Ratifying treaties imposes binding obligations โ€“ non-compliance doesnโ€™t negate their validity. 2. Violations are documented by impartial bodies (ICJ, UN, ICRC). 3. Accountability is hindered geopolitically, not legally. As the International Court of Justice affirmed in its 2004 Wall Opinion: > *โ€œIsrael is bound by international humanitarian law [โ€ฆ] including the Fourth Geneva Convention.โ€* The ongoing catastrophe in Gaza underscores a stark reality: Israelโ€™s adherence to IHL is not a matter of legal ambiguity, but of political will and international enforcement.
I listened to the entire episode and he eventually says, right now, there should bd no changes to the network. It seems that what he was actually saying was that if there is ever a quantum threat to bitcoin in the future, there will be a software response that would most likely have a consensus to keep bitcoin from being destroyed. Those that donโ€™t comply will end up losing their bitcoin anyway, so everyone will consent to prevent it.
Saylor is saying that IF QUANTUM COMPUTING BECAME AN ISSUE. I don't like the guy but misrepresenting what he said only makes you seem dishonest. Oh right you support nfts on the blockchain don't you @ODELL? Figures you'd be one of the ones spreading disinformation. The coretards are all grifters misrepresenting anything anyone else says trying to score points.
I donโ€™t think quantum computing is going to be a problem for a long time. If it ever threatens the encryption Iโ€™m sure all who have actual bitcoin will have moved it to quantum proof wallets. For those who donโ€™t, wellโ€ฆโ€™not your keys not your coinsโ€™ letโ€™s see where the die falls.
''this breaks the fundamental social contract and value prop of bitcoin: sovereign ownership and property rights'' I fundamentally disagree with this position, and just think you are flat out wrong. Fuck your high minded silly ideals, they mean nothing, fuck your social contract, fuck your ''rights''; using such frames irt Bitcoin is just retarded, its all stuff you made up and lives in your head. You have censorship resistance, and it is in MY interest, to burn whatever sitting duck coins out there to reduce the supply, and so is it in yours. I can move, i can be a target you wont be able to coordinate around to catch me, i can leverage the censorship resistance Bitcoin gives me. That censorship resistance is not there because of a ''social contract'', or ''rights'', its there because of the very practical reality of diverging interests. The only reason forking away coins won't happen is because people are pussies and don't understand they have nothing to fear, and don't understand what their actual interests are.
I dont mistunderstand anything, your confusion is this notion that btc could potentially succesfully be put off the table/cencored would mean an undermining of the censorship resistance; it doesnt. The btc that gets censored is btc that never resisted; if it did, if it would resist, it would not get censored. Bitcoin does not promis censor-impossibility, if that were true we would not have this discussion in the first place. What is better than 21 million? 20 million is better than 21 million. How would it hurt the value of Bitcoin, if we all effectively hold the dagger when backstabbing the sitting duck btc, doing so because we all realize we are better off for it?
No, a decentralized conspiracy based on converging interests (because that is the only practical way this can play out in the real world, given how everything irt Bitcoin and markets etc works), forking away particular sitting duck btc, does indeed NOT undermine the censorship resistance of Bitcoin that was based on the divergence of interests and the inability to effectively coordinate. Indeed cool, because we all get relatively richer. You have to actually reason this stuff through in terms of how this would play out: What are the requirements for such a ''decentralized conspiracy based on converging interests' to occur? A big component is that it requires absolutely passive btc just sitting there, doing nothing, not resisting anything, otherwise this 'decentralized conspiracy based on converging interests' can't effectively target anything. i.e. the fact that no resistance against censorship took place indeed means that censorship resistance was not undermined, its not that complicated actually.
I fail to see how anyone gets richer, those coins that wonโ€™t move will be the same coins that were dormant anyway โ€” so how does that affect price? It doesnโ€™tโ€ฆ price is already determined in the margins. The only way it could possibly affect price is *if* it triggers massive buying. Secondly it could hurt price if there is contention and miners and nodes continue to direct their resources to the old chain creating a competing chain, this could in theory cause trading between QBTC and BTC which could have unforeseen consequences.
Generally fair point, although i'd say it is reasonable to assume that the information of a reduced total opposed to the uncertainty of dormancy would, ultimately, effect behavior/price. As for any particular proposal, i did not follow any debate, im simply reasoning against the statement made by Odell, and in general my point would be that any contention would be short lived compared to the long term effect of a structural supply reduction (i can wait a few years).
Yea there just seems to be a general misconception in bitcoin that hard cap means up forever. It does not, it only means up forever if demand increases forever. If it reduced supply of active supply then yes if demand stayed neutral with less โ€œactiveโ€ supply that would change the supply demand dynamics and effect price. The risk is if people somehow missed the news and didnโ€™t upgrade and lost their coins. But again miners will direct their hash to the more profitable chain. So who knows what would happen.
Look, i get the discomfort, but how i read Odel's statement is 'satoshi gave everyone a suit of armor, but for the sake of the people that decided to not wear/use it, lets all be nice and just agree to be nice and not hit eachother'. Regardless of the context (i understand this particular context is quantum stuff, but i just reason from 'lets fuck up satoshis million because we can' for example) i think that is a very 'un-bitcoiner' position to take.
What non-altruistic reason do you have to not comply? Are you satoshi? The only reason i can come up with is the assessment many other people are oblivious to what their interests are, and as a result it would cause confusion, or atleast fertile grounds to sow confusion, which would be undesirable; which is fair, given you yourself thusfar are an excellent demonstration of the lack of such insight. Then again, if such confusion is significant enough the (soft)fork itself would probably not be a succes to begin with.
"precedent" is what we call the social phenomenon where, once you do something, it becomes normalized. censorship resistance doesn't exist because you say "censorship resistance." it exists when a 3rd party can't prevent you from sending a transaction. so stop with the ridiculous mental gymnastics. you're literally advocating for a 3rd party to prevent certain p2p transactions.
On 'normalization': The whole premise behind Bitcoin is that the coordination of (global) divergent interests is hard/unstable (hence nakamoto concensus was introduced). You suggest some outlier phenomena (a rare moment when those divergent interest converge on some idea/notion/proposal) will get "normalized"; i'd say that is a silly idea, and that such convergence does not occur through normalization ('ossification' is exactly what prevents normalization to begin with), but simply due to particular conditions being right/ripe. Censorship resistance in Bitcoin exists because of divergence of interest, i.e. odds are you will always find a miner to bribe to include you into a block. Thats it, you can BRIBE some other dude, to cooperate with you instead of some potential conspiracy against you. Thats where your resistance-ability lies. Mining itself is a (permissionless) game amongst "gods", i.e. you can't expect a 'user' to cough up hashpower out of the blue to generate a block in a permissionless manner such that he can get his tx in the chain within a reliable/reasonable amount of time...inb4 you tried to argue that routem... So that state of Bitcoin is one where 3rd parties have a hard time ganging up on you; you can bride a 3rd party to fold in irt any potential conspiracy against you; if you do fuck all then at some point some conspiracy might succeed: not because you had the inability to do anything, but because you did not do anything. Resistance is an action, again its not censorship-impossibility, some magical attribute. If a thing is in my interest...and yours...and the next guy...why not conspire? Because it is not nice? You joined Bitcoin in the hopes people are nice???
obviously we disagree regarding normalization. if you look at the history of Bitcoin or have any experience in open source software development, that the normalization of particular behaviors occurs is obvious. its not like it's unique to Bitcoin either. this is a known issue with decentralized projects and humans in general. matt and I are saying (if I can put words in his mouth) thats why we dont support this particular "conspiracy." its just naive to believe it's not a concern. whether normalization occurs or not however, the fact that changing the protocol to prevent certain p2p txs erodes Bitcoins censorship resistance is obvious.
Well i think this conversation is spend, but i cant resist pointing out the irony of your mistake of calling the transactions p2p; bitcoin (onchain) txs are not p2p, miners are not your peer. I can't shake the feeling that error somehow is indicative of your broader perspective on the matter; a blindspot in the relation to the 3rd party involved lets say. In any event, we can't even seem to get the sensible softforks going, so its not as if the topic a whole is all too relevant.
I think there basically be soft-fork with dual signature types the Quantum addresses and the regular addresses for a long time. And slowly people will slowly give economic preference to the new Quantum addresses. And that's it. To the point that people on older addresses start losing economic opportunity. Nobody is forced to do anything. There will be a new alternative/upgrade, people will choose it or not. It's really not that of a big deal. And it'a all voluntaryist.