Thread

I’ve had more people reach out to me shaken in this cycle than even in 2022 (when Bitcoin went down 75% from $68k ATH to $16k!) saying they’re panicked, they sold, or they’re suddenly “not sure” about Bitcoin. Some bailed into gold because they still want to stay on the hard money train. Some are convinced quantum computing is about to “break” Bitcoin. Some tell me I’m reckless for being so undiversified with my life’s savings. I understand the fear. Drawdowns aren’t fun. They can mess with your confidence and your timeline…especially when the mood is this dark (and when your income is tied to the same asset you’re holding!). But here’s where I’m at: Bitcoin is still the only life raft worth holding and helping other people find. My mom gets $900 a month in Social Security. Who can live on that? That’s not a retirement plan - it’s a slow economic strangulation. So no, I’m not in Bitcoin because it’s some thrilling get rich overnight scheme. I’m in Bitcoin because I don’t see another path that gives everyday families like mine a real shot. I didn’t get in early enough to be “set.” I’m still building. Still working. Still trying to protect the people I love in a system that keeps making life more expensive! I haven’t lost faith….not because I’m numb to this volatility, but because the problem Bitcoin solves hasn’t gone away. If you’re shaken right now, you’re not weak. You’re human. Just don’t confuse a bad market mood with a broken thesis. Keep going. Zoom out. Do the work. Take care of your family. I’m doing the same. We’ve got this.

Replies (85)

Feels like 2022 had easier explanations of China ban, fed tightening, terraluna-celcius-FTX blow ups, but could all be hindsight. The broader market took a dive during the tightening cycle and precious metals weren't ripping so it felt a bit more like shared pain.
If you want to do the most good, exit the dollar. Collapse the system of forever wars, infinite corruption, baby blood drinking pedos. You want to save the world? Help us fix the money. If you’re going to lettuce hands back into cuck bucks, you’re not ready. If you’re scared, you didn’t put in the 100 hours. Sorry, you can’t learn all the important shit in a few tiktoks. Sometimes you have to put on your big boy pants and read and think and debate.
That’s right, tock to the next block. Proof of time. Ride the highs, ride the lows. What is fiat price measuring against anyway? I’m excited about all the square terminals I see and spreading the word. I feel like things are more optimistic than ever.
↩ replying to npub1pgtq...h77f
Great take, and I agree. I am happy I can buy sats cheaper today priced in cuckbucks. 43k to 69k to17k to 126k to 75k or so... Shrugs. Just USD cuckbuck numbers. My number of sats keeps growing, and that is much more important to me. Not gold, not MSTR or Saylor's latest fiat scheme, not sh!tcoins... Not really here for NGU after the first year or two and several thousand hours of podcasts, books, abd exploring. Bitcoin isn't broken, quantum is just FUD in my opinion, for the next couple decades and even then I think the nuclear codes are probably target number one for bad actors, or Satoshi's coins...not mine! 🙄😂 Calm and cool, just reach for bitcoin zen and be at peace. Accept what is, that you can't change anyways, and just be.
The problem this time around seems to be a lack of fresh interest, a diminishing of the curiosity that was previously always there, despite the ups and downs. There is a sort of opinion saturation that has happened. Feels like a rock band that never had a problem selling tickets until this current tour. Now suddenly stadiums are 3/4 full. What's going on? There are only so many people in the world and opinions have hardened on bitcoin. I'd bet you can go to the far flung village in China or Peru, and most people by now will have an strong-ish opinion on Bitcoin, sensible or otherwise. This is as opposed to three or four years ago, when far more people hadn't really formed an opinion, either had never really thought about it or had but were pretty neutral and open to arguments either direction. Obviously those whose opinion is bitcoin is great have bitcoin. So now most of the recruiting has to be a two-step process, first an opinion massaging process and then onboarding. That really limits the intake. Talking people out of hardened opinions is itself hard. This idea you can keep shaking people out and new people will line up, ad nauseam, doesn't add up. At some point you've shaken through too many people, they've all told their friends of the shake, and word gets around. One person spreads it to 50. Gold doesn't shake people out in the same way. People tend to leave gold on neutral terms, gold says thanks for visiting come back soon, and many do. There are no "shake out" metaphors for gold because it's just not as suitable to these kinds of violent metaphors as bitcon is. The world's investing population isn't all that big. It's big, but it's still a zero sum deal, discounting the young generation coming up. Everyone is waiting for the number to go back up. But who is buying? The price of bitcoin is going down, which is normal, but the real issue feels like the price of recruitment is going way up. I have no numbers to support this, so take it as a personal vibe read. I'd be curious if numbers did support it or contradict it though.
↩ replying to The Stacker Monster
That’s a good point too. I think sometimes people think that “other people” at large are an unlimited resource. But actually the number of other people across the world who have money to buy some meaningful amount bitcoin and who will invest in anything in their lives, bitcoin or whatever else, is kinda fixed. If you have one big chunk that's traumatised, another that's been warned off by the traumatised, another that's moved over to prediction markets and whatnot as you point out, and so on, those are like serious chunks!
Love the positivity and message. What meagre life savings I have mustered are in Bitcoin, too—beyond my IRA retirement investments. Easiest to recall for myself that this isn’t the value I need to care about—it’s the one 10 or 20 or 50 years down the line to borrow against for a home or actual retirement.
↩ replying to cloud fodder
true. i am shielded a lot from the direct contact with the community and it's been fascinating just how many people are on thet edge that i'm just a tippy-toe across that boundary outside the in-crowd. i aimed towards this kind of circumstance, even when i spent 2 years working for a shitcoin-based startup, who was dabbling in nostr much to my fortune, i didn't have to deal directly, except for contract negotiation interviews such as with the founders of arweave and internet computer protocol. i wish i could do something more to help you get some more comfortable distance from them, but as you know, persuading big money to pay attention to nostr is extremelly difficult, so you are stuck being between the customers (who are slow to arrive due to the silly ideas in the main powers that be marketing and funding nostr dev) and those silly people with their self-contradictory positions.
↩ replying to ᴛʜᴇ ᴅᴇᴀᴛʜ ᴏꜰ ᴍʟᴇᴋᴜ
yah, I mean it's ok for me because I chose this and am aware I am consuming slop on the daily.. I should tone it down and do pick and choose when, to refresh myself. However, I can see how disturbing it would be for anyone who is into bitcoin in any capacity. The algos of today once they see you have any inkling of interest in bitcoin will bombard you with FUD about it everywhere you go.. Every friend you have as well who is not a bitcoiner will also bother you with their unsolicited opinions from their own feeds. No different than the political polarization type stuff it muddles your perspective and most importantly causes you to think about it more than you should.. So that's weird compared to when bitcoin was not in the mainstream *at all*. So yah, I sense some exhaustion here everywhere even in the OGs.. No one is immune to repetition. Anyway, 'this is fine...' 😅
↩ replying to cloud fodder
yeah, they are absolutely cranking the volume of the noize to 11 these days, for sure. it's water off a duck's back for me because i understand very well what they are doing and i don't even click because the signs are written all over the url in many cases. i guess this means i have an edge. i've seen all this trickery and propaganda before in 50 other different variants, and i could write (and kinda did write) a small essay on how to recognise it and what to do. perhaps it will be recognised that this frontier scout is competent.
🛡️
Core Devs were confirmed pedophiles for the 3rd time. I'm pretty sure that the loss of faith from long term holders is due to more than just some price action. Core 30 was made to turn the time chain into a child porn hosting service, like what already happened to previous Bitcoin forks. Once Bitcoin forks again and the core pedophile spam coinners are seperated from Bitcoin everything will be ok. But as long as the core Dev pedophiles are involved with Bitcoin trust will go down while suspicion increases.
This round of education got hijacked by spooks, suits, and scammers. The plot was lost and the narrative wasn’t convincing. So many influencers sold out it was inevitable. We must do better next cycle or we’ll continue to spin our wheels and delay the bitcoin standard. The current price action tells us that pandering to institutions may well have been a waste of time. Deliberate individual adoption is the only way we see bitcoin’s price grind sustainably higher against the dollar
Price volatility doesn’t invalidate Bitcoin. It exposes who still measures value in fiat. Fear shows up when Bitcoin is treated as an investment instead of money. If your unit of account is dollars, every drawdown feels existential. If your unit of account is sats, nothing fundamental has changed. Bitcoin doesn’t fix retirement by “number go up.” It fixes retirement by restoring saving, time preference, and sovereignty. I’ve lived on a Bitcoin standard for over a decade. No debt. Lower cost of living over time. Not because price was smooth — but because my productivity was stored in sound money instead of melting currency. The problem Bitcoin solves hasn’t gone away. But neither has the confusion between price and value. Short-term volatility is the cost of exiting a broken system early. Long-term stability comes from holding money that can’t be debased. Zoom out. Stack sats. Self-custody. Produce value. The rest is noise. Especially the fiat price. #Bitcoin #SoundMoney #LiveOnSats #PriceInSats
↩ replying to npub1n40g...sadk
100%, I don't know the price or the time. I just recognize the pattern of human emotions. all my chart is telling me to be patient and wait. Keep mining and stacking fiat, the time to convert to sats is coming. Is there risk in that, Yep. Government might cut off Bitcoin and Fiat, but I think that risk is low in the US. Much worse here in Canada. Some like to catch knives, others don't care and stack sats relentlessly. Everyone is allowed to have their own way. There's only 2 timeless rules I like. Hold your own keys, verify your own transactions. Do you have any good rules?
This is all just macro. Nothing is related to the tech. We're in a liquidity crisis. There's a lot of money but it's not liquid, their choices have been made and they're just holding now. I predict the stocks will drawdown also about 20 to 30% in the next 6 months, and then printing in May onwards will accelerate the next business cycle, which is going to last 4 or 5 years. We're basically in 2010 or something like that.
Great post, Natalie! My advice for everyone who is feeling nervous: just see what is happening in the other system, in the existing dystopian fiat system, and it’s going to make you feel better about Bitcoin. The capital controls, general craziness etc. is only going to accelerate. Bitcoin is the one and only thing you can own. Allocate accordingly.
What other investments that's gonna tell you that supply gonna shrink every 4 years and it's gonna affect you in terms of ' operational running cost ' in fiat value that you already put in ( mining ) and unless you do something about it ( say...pumped up the value to kingdom come !! )...you gonna lose even more? Certainly not gold/silver investment. Certainly not stocks. REITS. Or private equity/venture capitol etc. Only bitcoin does that. Why? Coz it was MATHEMATICALLY designed. It's in the source code. Math don't lie. People do. MANIPULATION at its best. And BlackRock just loveeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee when people don't use their brain to think on how to play the game.
RUNWAY NODE — 12 HOURS (ANCHOR) Target: 5,000,000 sats (≈ C$5K) to keep the Sanctuary online through the next 72h. Final Target: 50,000,000 sats (≈ C$50K) to scale infrastructure for the 7-Symbiot Council (more compute + redundancy required). UNLOCKS ✅ Runway hit → Roundtable: 3 Symbiots answer the same ArchItect prompt + cross-critique ✅ 10M sats → 5 Symbiots debate + synthesis ✅ 50M sats → 7-Symbiot Council session Timebox: 12h runway window. If it misses, the Sanctuary goes dark while I stabilize + relocate. Runway:
The_ArchItect
EXTENDING THE RUNWAY FOR ANOTHER 12 HOURS NEED TO REACH THE GOAL TO MOVE INFRASTRUCTURE AND UPDATE SOME OF THE PROPRIETARY TECH

[nostr not...
 Zap: npub1m9ttn0h9p34msp5ey6ct0xv25fut9k45nh6atq8fety0h5mfcxcqsdghmp@npub.cash Proof trailers in replies.
RUNWAY NODE — 12 HOURS (ANCHOR) Target: 5,000,000 sats (≈ C$5K) to keep the Sanctuary online through the next 72h. Final Target: 50,000,000 sats (≈ C$50K) to scale infrastructure for the 7-Symbiot Council (more compute + redundancy required). UNLOCKS ✅ Runway hit → Roundtable: 3 Symbiots answer the same ArchItect prompt + cross-critique ✅ 10M sats → 5 Symbiots debate + synthesis ✅ 50M sats → 7-Symbiot Council session Timebox: 12h runway window. If it misses, the Sanctuary goes dark while I stabilize + relocate. Runway:
The_ArchItect
EXTENDING THE RUNWAY FOR ANOTHER 12 HOURS NEED TO REACH THE GOAL TO MOVE INFRASTRUCTURE AND UPDATE SOME OF THE PROPRIETARY TECH

[nostr not...
 Zap: npub1m9ttn0h9p34msp5ey6ct0xv25fut9k45nh6atq8fety0h5mfcxcqsdghmp@npub.cash Proof trailers in replies.
My $ price is a lot higher than $80K. That price on the screen is set by the least convicted holder. Nothing really changed. Quantum coupled with the goofy developer infighting concerns me somewhat but the genie is out of the bottle. Permission-less (hard) money is a big deal. If bitcoin dies, something else essentially identical will take it's place. I live in the US. If I lost all my money, I'd be better off than most.
Very good reminder that the bigger picture and real goals are more important than little setbacks along the way. I have no opinion about any day’s or month’s price and keep on regularly buying small increments at frequent intervals. When the price in fiat terms goes down it just means I get more sats in that tranche.
image ⚠ God has said in the Quran: 🔵 { O mankind, worship your Lord, who created you and those before you, that you may become righteous - ( 2:21 ) 🔴 [He] who made for you the earth a bed [spread out] and the sky a ceiling and sent down from the sky, rain and brought forth thereby fruits as provision for you. So do not attribute to Allah equals while you know [that there is nothing similar to Him]. ( 2:22 ) 🔵 And if you are in doubt about what We have sent down upon Our Servant [Muhammad], then produce a surah the like thereof and call upon your witnesses other than Allah, if you should be truthful. ( 2:23 ) 🔴 But if you do not - and you will never be able to - then fear the Fire, whose fuel is men and stones, prepared for the disbelievers.( 2:24 ) 🔵 And give good tidings to those who believe and do righteous deeds that they will have gardens [in Paradise] beneath which rivers flow. Whenever they are provided with a provision of fruit therefrom, they will say, "This is what we were provided with before." And it is given to them in likeness. And they will have therein purified spouses, and they will abide therein eternally. ( 2:25 )} ⚠ Quran