Bottom formation
β BTC stops crashing on bad news
β Bad ETF flow days no longer dump price
β Bounces get bought
β Volatility drops
β Twitter turns βdeadβ
Not when fear is loud β itβs when nobody cares.
Base case:
β’ Forced selling ends: Late Feb 2026
β’ Bottoming range: 2β4 weeks
β’ Uptrend resumes: MarchβApril 2026
Price zone: $52kβ$58k
(High-volume support + cost basis + option strikes)
Bottom likely in when:
β ETFs flat β₯5 days
β Funding β€0
β Volatility falling
β Exchange balances down
β DXY/yields stall
If 4+ boxes checked β start scaling in.