The Marist poll out today (Dems +14 in the U.S. House vote) is a huge outlier, but there has been clear movement to the left over the last month. The Democrats are up 4.4 in our average of generic ballot polls today, vs D+2.8 in mid-October. fiftyplusone.news/polls/generi... https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreie5p2s53k5bfqnwd6cedz6ucfwwsyz2444vfqh4bueuazffvxgjxm

Zohran Mamdani has a higher favorability rating than Donald Trump, JD Vance or Chuck Schumer. The most popular political figures in America are Barack Obama and Bernie Sanders www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d... https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreicanaxckkf4ifkf6cy4nkhiiixa6xaxlapludoljntpuipazihmny

Here's a thread of results from our newest Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy poll, out today: - D+5 on generic ballot, grows to D+7 when voters are told Rs control Congress. - Trump at -16 approval, underwater on inflation by 33 pts and on health care by 26 www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d... New poll: Democrats lead the 2...

I think this finding from our Oct. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll was overlooked, and should shift some of the conventional wisdom about why Harris lost in 2024 and what the Dem. Party needs to do to win in 2026/2028. Anti-incumbent bias on the economy is underrated substack.com/@gelliottmor... https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreicutoo5aoewko27va45w3pt7n62gdvnwicmwuo2hfnsdx7kgv3y4y

maybe if he takes more consultant advice to move to the right on immigration he can turn those numbers around https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreibigitmvvne5nzk7mru6hwdcjahk4mn554mvwlvtzlsp3spuy6tni

your weekly political data roundup is here: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-hits... Trump hits a record low with p...

The elections last week proved that Trump's success in 2024 was best explained as a *dealignment* in politics, hastened by but not only due to inflation — but not a Trump *realignment*. This week, polls showed POTUS slipping further w/ Gen Z and Latinos www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-win... The 2024 Trump "realignment" i...

Today is one of those days when I should have taken my own advice. Flooded with rage tweets on the other platform. Garbage way to communicate that only brings out the worst in people. All dunks, no conversation. Complete waste of time trying to engage there www.gelliottmorris.com/p/you-should... You should quit social media f...

One thing I haven’t seen the “Democrats need to move to the right” camp of the Democratic elite reckon with is the complete and utter failure of Keir Starmer’s drastic move to the right on immigration. He has failed to halt Nigel Farage’s rise in polls substack.com/@gelliottmor... G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmo...

trump's approval among adults falls below 40% for the first time in his second term: fiftyplusone.news/polls/approv... his net rating is -16.4, statistically indistinguishable from his -17.2 rating at this point in his first term: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data https://lionsmane.us-east.host.bsky.network/xrpc/com.atproto.sync.getBlob?did=did:plc:sbdnltkjqzeb5qshxmi7wu2i&cid=bafkreiaaypmbob4jgr5jl5l7tfabofni6ui37ynq7mfqlvbcgiisv43qly