
On Nostr, I will exclusively share the most significant Bitcoin news. (this note)
For those (still) beyond Nostr—friends, family, and colleagues—the complete Weekly Recap will be accessible on my Bitcoin Friday page on Habla. (next note)
Enriched with detailed charts, illustrative images, and comprehensive macroeconomic news to provide context and clarity.
Happy reading!
The Latest Bitcoin & Macro news: Weekly Recap 25.08.2025
🧠Quote(s) of the week:
"People don't realize that Bitcoin can conquer a $100+ trillion market simply because of multisig and the unbreakable reliability of its settlement. No collateral can even come close to any of the 5 most important traits you want in a perfect collateral. Bitcoin destroys all of it. - quick to exchange - easy to verify - easy & quick to liquidate at any time on any day - can't be damaged, perfectly portable - completely unmatched in mitigating trust and custody concerns Literally nothing is even in the same ballpark." - Guy Swann
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🧡Bitcoin news🧡

On the 18th of August:
➡️Thailand launches a program to allow foreign visitors to convert Bitcoin and crypto into local currency.
➡️I hate dumbducks like Jacob King:

Ah, the great panic of the faithful—Foundry burps out eight blocks in a row and suddenly the sky is falling. Eight in a row with ~40% of the hash? That’s not black magic, that’s probability yawning and stretching. The White Paper told you plainly in Section 5: miners and nodes are the same, and there have never been more than a dozen or two in operation at any given time. Right now, you’re looking at about 13. So the spectacle here isn’t proof of decentralisation’s corpse; it’s just mathematics paying its rent on time.
Shanaka Anslem Perera: "Everyone screaming 'centralization' at 8 Foundry blocks in a row is missing the actual signal. Bitcoin is not a stock you hold; it is a thermodynamic truth encoded in math. Mining is probabilistic … streaks happen. Fees collapsing and empty blocks don’t mean “Bitcoin is dead,” they mean the network is clearing, like the ocean at low tide before the next wave. The real centralization risk isn’t Foundry or Antpool. It’s the fiat system you’re still trapped in. Bitcoin is the only network where power is checked by physics itself: SHA-256, difficulty adjustment, and block time. No CEO, no government, no central bank can override it. Eight blocks in a row isn’t a death knell. It’s a reminder. Bitcoin doesn’t care about your fear. It runs on a clock deeper than nation-states, deeper than empires. The longest chain always wins."
Spot on!
On the 19th of August:
➡️Royal Bank of Canada increased its MSTR stake by nearly 16% in Q2 2025, per new SEC filing.
➡️Bitcoin is dead, again!

Joe Consorti: Bitcoin has spent 131 days above $100k since it first broke it, with 43 days spent above $110k. Last cycle, BTC only spent 39 days above $60k. This consolidation above $100k is extremely healthy relative to prior cycles. Zoom out, and relax.
➡️On-Chain Collega: Let me be clear: This is not what Bitcoin cycle tops look like.

➡️Air Canada pension fund reveals $161 MILLION Bitcoin allocation. This is Canada's first large pension fund with a Bitcoin allocation.
➡️David Bailey’s KindlyMD acquires 5,744 Bitcoin for $678.9 MILLION.
➡️Tether appoints former white house crypto council executive director Bo Hines as strategic advisor for digital assets and U.S. strategy
➡️Tech Giant Google increases stake in Bitcoin miner TeraWulf to 14%.
➡️Bhutan government transfers 800 BTC ($92M). Bhutan holds 9,969 BTC ($1.15B).

➡️Ark 21Shares sells 559.85 Bitcoin worth $64.4 million.
➡️$829 billion Bernstein predicts the bull market extending into 2027 and bitcoin hitting $150,000–$200,000 in the next year
➡️Timothy Peterson: 'Bitcoin is down -8% in the past 6 days. This has happened 41 times since 2022. What happens next? In the following 6 days, Bitcoin was up 66% of the time. The average gain was 8%. If it did lose money, the average loss was only -3%.'

On the 20th of August:
➡️Harvard economist who was wrong about Bitcoin crashing to $100 in 2018 now says the world is wrong, he's still right.

Translation: I wasn't wrong; everyone else is stupid.

Bravo, everyone. We're all more intellectually honest than a Harvard economist. This Harvard economist still proclaims that BTC, now the 6th largest global asset, is worthless. His thesis for the last 7 years has been thoroughly gutted, yet he refuses to accept new information.
James Lavish: "Understanding Bitcoin requires you to check your ego at the door and forget everything you have been programmed to believe about fiat and inflation."
➡️'BITCOIN HISTORY: Satoshi first emailed Adam Back about Bitcoin 17 years ago today.' - Bitcoin Archive

➡️SoFi partners with Lightspark to launch Lightning-enabled international money transfers.
➡️River: Bitcoin's volatility has been lower than gold's for the longest period in history.

➡️Swedish health tech company H100 Group acquires 102 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 911 BTC.
On the 21st of August:
➡️Pennsylvania lawmakers introduce House Bill 1812, which would ban public officials from owning Bitcoin or crypto. Violations could bring fines or even jail time.
➡️One of the world’s LARGEST financial institutions, Allianz, has gained Bitcoin exposure through MicroStrategy.
➡️
@Wicked : 91.6% of all the bitcoin sits in UTXOs worth 1 BTC or more.

Now I hear you say, UTXOs? What? Here you go:

River
Bitcoin’s UTXO Model: What Is It and How To Manage UTXOs | River Learn - How to Store Bitcoin
Learn how to manage Bitcoin's UTXOs to reduce transaction fees, a detailed guide on UTXO management, its impact, and practical tips for every Bitco...
On the 22nd of August:
➡️CarlBMenger: 'EU accelerates plans for digital euro stablecoin with potential rollout on Ethereum or Solana blockchain. European bureaucrats worship control, that’s why they push those centralised shitcoins, and build their own on top. FUCK THEM, embrace Bitcoin.'
➡️Strategy is BUYING around 785 Bitcoin per day.

On top of that, Michael Saylor’s STRATEGY now meets all criteria for S&P 500 inclusion. If added, it could trigger $10B+ of passive inflows.
➡️'Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, says the Fed is moving away from its strict 2% inflation framework. They’re going to let inflation run hot. Buy as much Bitcoin as you can.' - Bitcoin Archive

James Lavish is spot on: 'And just like that, a 'target' becomes a 'feeling', and one that won't feel good to the vast majority of Americans.'
On top of that, Powell suggested current conditions 'may warrant' interest rate cuts. Bitcoin rose 76.9% from last September to December when the Fed cut rates. Today, the Fed opened the door to cut rates in September, once again. I know, different market, no elections, etc, but still.
Preston Pysh on Powell's statements: "Fiat is so fragile and manipulated that some old dude can mutter 15 words and markets around the world whip-saw to the tune of trillions of dollars in a matter of minutes. Humans have built their entire exchange of energy between each other on this scheme of a system. Decades later, we will truly laugh at how primitive it all was."
Anyway, if you are new to all this...let me explain how this will unfold:
The market goes down, people panic
The Fed lowers rates and prints money
Markets boom and people are happy
Printed money causes too much inflation
The Fed (central banks) hikes rates
Repeat until (hyper)inflation
Rinse and repeat, as we sit back & stack sats.
➡️ The Philippines House introduces a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
➡️First-time Bitcoin buyers added 50,000 BTC last week. Large holders bought another 16,000 BTC. Accumulation is accelerating.
➡️$250 MILLION Bitcoin and crypto shorts liquidated in the past 4 hours.
On the 23rd of August:
➡️Spot Bitcoin ETFs surged to a record $134.6 billion in Q2. Institutions reported $33.6 billion in holdings via 13F filings.
On the 24th of August:
➡️Probability of Positive Bitcoin Returns Per Holding Period: •1 Day: 53.1% •1 Week: 55.7% •1 Month: 57.8% •1 Qtr: 63.5% •1 Yr: 76.5% •3 Yr: 99.3% •5 Yr: 99.8% •10 Yr: 100%

➡️The largest bank in Norway (DNB) is now creating a Bitcoin fund for customers to buy. 20% Bitcoin exposure and 80% Bitcoin companies. Gradually, then suddenly.
➡️'For all the anticipation of nation state adoption, it's funds and corporate treasuries who've been driving this cycle Wild, when you consider that US Investment Advisors allocate just 0.006% of their portfolio to Bitcoin. We are so early' - Daniel Batten
➡️A Bitcoin whale sold 24,000 BTC worth over $2.7 billion, causing today’s -$4,000 crash in minutes. They still hold 152,874 BTC worth more than $17 BILLION.
ZeroHedge: "Now why would someone want to sell a huge block and take out the entire bid stack (3 times in a row) so that they can trigger sell momentum and accumulate much lower?"
SightBringer: "ZeroHedge nails it here: this wasn’t just a random liquidation - it was a strategic flush.
•Instead of trickling sales into ETF absorption, this whale (or entity) stacked blocks at size to nuke the bid wall, three times in a row. That’s not dumb money - that’s deliberate.
•Why? Because taking out the bid stack triggers cascading liquidations (perps, leverage longs, weak hands). That lets the same entity reload lower while ETFs, sovereigns, and corporates keep buying the net supply.
•Context: they still hold 152,874 BTC (~$17B). They’re not exiting Bitcoin - they’re playing a reflexive reset to shake out leverage and reposition.
This whale is showing us something bigger; they know the ETF/sovereign bid is infinite. So the only way to win is to force weak hands to puke and then accumulate back into the structural wall.
Deeper Truth: This isn’t bearish. It’s proof. We’re watching the old guard play their last weapon, forced volatility, against an orderbook now backed by ETFs and sovereign flows."
Even after reading all the above, ask yourself, which asset in the world can go liquid USD on a Sunday in one ≈$2.7B transaction? Bitcoin!
On the 25th of August:
➡️Strategy acquires 3,081 BTC for $356.9 million at $115,829 per Bitcoin. They now hodl 632,457 BTC acquired for $46.50 billion at $73,527 per Bitcoin.
➡️Yesterday’s Bitcoin flash crash was a bigger long-deleveraging event than the tariff-driven crash we saw back in April. The clearing of leverage should allow for a healthy bounce.

➡️$37,234,066,149,278.96 (+) US National Debt.
Alex Gladstein: 'There are at least 37 trillion reasons why Bitcoin will continue to increase in value.'
➡️US banks are lobbying to block stablecoin interest, warning it could trigger trillions in deposit outflows - Financial Times. Wall Street is realizing that Bitcoin and crypto are beating them at their own game.
➡️'Bitcoin has spent less than ~3 days at this price level. It's healthy to revisit and spend some time here. We're entering the weakest month for BTC seasonally, which is followed by its (historically) two best months. Go outside, touch grass, breathe, enjoy life.' - Joe Consorti

➡️Financial Times: Opinion: Bitcoin is either a brilliant innovation to move the world away from corruptible fiat currencies or a vast confidence trick.
Source:
https://archive.ph/zWwWG Poor journalism.
"If you still think that digital scarcity, absolute fixed supply, incorruptible, censorship-resistant, Internet native, unhackable, stateless, trustless, Peer to Peer payment system/money isn't a brilliant innovation, there's no hope for the future of your publication."
➡️In its inaugural “Bitcoin Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions,” Bitwise lays out its bull case: Bitcoin hitting $2.9 million by 2035.

🎁If you have made it this far, I would like to give you a little gift:
Lyn Alden's August newsletter is out. It analyzes the impacts of slightly tighter fiscal and slightly looser monetary policy going forward.

Lyn Alden
August 2025 Newsletter: Tighter Fiscal, Looser Monetary
August 24, 2025 This newsletter issue analyzes the shifting nature of fiscal and monetary policy in the United States. Fiscal policy is tightening ...
Credit: I have used multiple sources!
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Use the code SE3997
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