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I know a lot of people believe cycle theory is dead, and either the top is already in, or there won’t be another mania phase ahead. IMHO, both are just forms of “This time is different” mentality, and whenever I see a consensus forming from both ends, it leads me to think that the most familiar pattern will repeat again, just to prove the most people wrong.

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We're "overdue" for the next mania phase. But the longer it takes to arrive the higher the peak will be. Though if the next mania market never arrives, there also won't be another bear market after so it'll help the network gain more trust. Either way we're on track to be around $250k in 16 months.