Tom Karadza

Tom Karadza's avatar
Tom Karadza
npub1phqj...hshp
#Bitcoin Co-Founder Rock Star Real Estate, Keen Interest in Monetary System, Espresso & the Adriatic Sea, Co-Host Your Life! Your Terms! Podcast
AI productivity explosion is coming. No stopping it. Only two possible worlds: Fiat β†’ every breakthrough gets silently taxed and funnelled upward Bitcoin β†’ every breakthrough makes tomorrow cheaper than today Same tech. Totally different winners as @Jeff Booth has been sharing with us for some time now. This latest release of Gemini 3 is like another "fold" just occurred (it created the illustration below in about 2 seconds). The new system that's emerging is both exciting and slightly terrifying. image
The most important economic transition in human history, illustrated. Left β†’ breaking apart under debt + inflation Right β†’ being born out of energy, intelligence, and sound money We’re somewhere in the colourful chaos in the middle right now it would seem. image
Two futures, same AI explosion (extrapolating out the next few years is wild): Left: Fiat + infinite cantillionaire printer β†’ wealth flows upward, prices moon, savings melt, everyone runs faster on the hamster wheel just to stay in place. Right: Bitcoin monetary layer (fixed supply, energy-backed, no privileged diluters) β†’ wealth flows outward to producers/savers, prices fall over time, one unit of work today keeps compounding forever. AI supercharges production either way. Only question is who gets the new value. image
"Scarcity is imposed. Abundance is natural." This whole shift to AI and sound money is a bigger transition that I initially realized. The old economy runs on scarcity economics. They system we use today - banking, pricing, debt, interest - were all built in a world where: Energy was limited, production was slow, information was expensive, labour was the bottleneck. This meant the economy evolved by managing "scarcity". It's what most economists and CEOs still discuss today ... the "economics of scarcity". (Aside: it really hit me when Eric Scmidt in a recent interview with Peter Diamandis, Moonshots podcast, assumed that AI will centralize power/control and he couldn't see outside of the old system) In a scarcity based system, whoever controls the money supply, the credit system, the energy markets controls the distribution of wealth. This leads to centralization. Energy is abundant and is headed to becoming abundantly available (yes, we are early here but the trend to abundance is becoming visible). Intelligence is becoming abundant. Scarcity is not the natural state of the world anymore. (Aside: We already produce more energy than we use β€” we just waste it. Bitcoin mining makes wasted energy profitable, which increases usable supply and pushes the cost of energy down over time.) This is blowing me away. The sun hits earth with 10,000x more energy than humanity is currently using. AI turns intelligence into a scalable resource. Automation is turning labour from scarce to easily replicable. Bitcoin turns value storage into something that's fixed and incorruptible. So instead of economics being about who controls scarcity, it is now actively in the process of becoming about how efficiently we convert: Energy -> intelligence -> output -> value. We are now incentivized to think from physics instead of from finance and the assumptions I've used my whole life are changing very quickly. Scarcity Economics: Value is limited Money is managed by centralized intitutions. Wealth accumulates upward. Savings doesn't work. Physics of Abundance: Value is producible at scale. Money is secured by energy. Wealth spreads outward through lower prices. Saving IS the mechanism of prosperity. If AI makes intelligence abundant, and Bitcoin makes money incorruptible, and energy increasingly comes from excess/stranded/renewable sources... ...then the limited factor in wealth creation is no longer "who controls the money". The limiting factor becomes: How much energy and intelligence you can access and coordinate. We are moving to a world where physics is more important than finances. Wealth in the future will flow to the people, companies, and regions that can power things (energy) and figure out what to do with that power (intelligence) β€” and connect those pieces efficiently (coordination). And with a new monetary layer (Bitcoin) is enabling global coordination between almost anyone. Scarcity has been imposed on us. Abundance is natural. And we're seeing this start to play out in a meaningful way right now. Completely wild time to be alive. I used to look at my favourite sunsets to admire the beauty (that's the Adriatic sea in the pic) ... and now I see much more. image
Preparing for a new presentation ... looking at the old GDP model for the economy and just shaking my head at how we've let this fiat game persist for so long. It's more obvious than ever that true prosperity comes from expanding access to abundant, low-cost energy (enabling everything from manufacturing to data centers), exponential gains in efficiency and innovation via AI and compute power (driving down costs across industries), and a sound, fixed-supply monetary base (like Bitcoin's model) that prevents debasement and lets deflationary forces compound value into the monetary unit itself. OLD: GDP = Consumption + Investment + Gov Spending + Net Exports ...this suddenly seems so archaic. NEW: Economic Abundance = Energy Scalability + AI Productivity + Monetary Integrity ...borderless, trustless, energy-based, deflationary (productivity growth without debt growth). We're in the middle of a major economic phase transition and it's going to be chaotic on all levels for some time ... but the opportunities ahead are exciting! The era of abundance awaits but it’s now very clear to me that the ride there is gonna be choppy.
Something happened to me a little while back and I fully blame @`Jeff Booth` for this (in the best way possible Jeff!! πŸ™Œ ) ... once you fully understand that "the natural state of the free market is deflation" everything clicks ... the fiat chaos in housing, politics, salaries, careers, almost everything. The madness of a dying system's last throes? It all makes brutal, logical sense - wrong and often horrible, but understandable. And the beauty that is emerging (slowly but surely) from a new free market is completely mind blowing. Blessed to witness this historic shift with each of you. Grateful for the perspective. What a time to be alive. Onward!! πŸš€