gr8ful4

BTC not much to say. Pretty much under control and developing at its own slow pace. Grinding between 70 and 120k for a couple of years will make the store of value narrative believable. View quoted note →

PoW coin dominance - or as some old timers would say - all that really matters. 1. BTC 2. DOGE 3. BCH 4. XMR 5. ZEC 6. LTC DOGE meme fun is over. Elon backers can't be bothered to pump it more so it bleeds until it falls of a cliff. XMR currently has the strongest narrative and community. Upcoming bull flag out break. BCH still has some OG support and technical break outs against BTC and USD. ZEC has some VCs and US gov want to position ZEC against Monero. Charts in correction mode, but likely does not matter as they will get the money printer support like BTC (Tether) and DOGE (Elon) before. LTC has a solid track record as a medium of exchange. Solid chart with possibility to expand. This is a silent revolution/reordering in the market. Use it to your advantage.

All targets have been reached and exceeded. Time for some slower moves. Expecting some craziness starting from Q2 2026. View quoted note →

Expecting a soft landing into ATH territory over the next weeks. Then some consolidating and then some crazy stuff only early Bitcoiners still remember like the run up to $30 in 2011. View quoted note →

Price action without the noise can be boiled down to "Monero and gold are chilling together". Like Peter Brandt mentioned a couple of weeks ago, it's the most interesting chart in all of crypto at the moment. I tend to agree. The setup is unique. The real outbreak versus gold is not expected before end of 2027. However, there is still room and the expectation to grow x2 versus gold within the next 12 months.

ZEC pump and dump is over. It just closed with a huge monthly wick that signals weakness or at least a stalling of momentum. Maybe Sillicon valley VC's figured that Bitcoiners and Monero investors won't fall for their silly plays, while spill-over effects are real.

Monero slowly climbing ranks in this lack-luster market. Today it silently confirmed its highest monthly close in its almost 12 years of existence. Once again it proves that it is now the only fully decorrelated asset, independently moving from all other markets. You want, no you need exposure to this coin. Depending on macro market forces there is the possibility to accumulate within the $250 to $500 range for up to 12 months more. After that we'll see the 8 to 9 year bull flag getting fully resolved to the upside giving us potential targets between $10k and $100k, no less.

So far we are still on track. Trend reversal is in full force. Monero reached its shorter term target at a significant resistance level, meaning we either will see a temporary rejection here or sideways consolidation. Interesting that both XMRBTC and BCHBTC are currently flirting with their respective 8 year down trends against BTC. BCH is consolidating slightly above the already broken trend line. XMR is consolidating exactly at the trend line. Expecting a full confirmation of the trend reversal within the next 6 months.

Monero is old enough to watch the 3M and 6M charts. You won't find a clearer text book bull flag than XMRUSD. Almost as if maximum manipulation results in the clearest chart patterns. Add to that a very clear IHS on XMRBTC and you have a recipe for epic price discovery about to start at any time. You really don't want to miss this setup. Think ZEC, but for Monero.

The market dynamic currently present in ZECUSD is one of a kind. The only other price rise that is comparable is when Elon pumped DOGE. This is of course not an organic move. Someone with big pockets is moving ZEC against a stagnating and lack-luster overall market. ZEC marketcap went from around 500M to over 10B in 2 months. The narrative may be strong, especially since supported by crypto media outlets. This should make one extra cautious. This is not a sector wide move. This is a solitary pump. Maybe it is to distract from Monero. Maybe it is exit liquidity for DCG. Maybe it is a re-positioning of big whales preparing for the privacy narrative, when BTC becomes less useful. Interesting to watch, that even in 2025 x20 moves are not out of the window in shirt time frames.