There may not be many oversized op returns to begin with. This statement needs more data, and even then it is at best only valid in a specific time frame.
A filtered 81 byte transaction today is tomorrow’s higher fee 81byte transaction that miners won’t refuse. I think the pro filters crowd tends to think about this issue in too binary a manner.
When people say filters don’t work they mean over a long enough timeline filters aren’t effective and have centralizing effects while rewarding miners most would agree are not long term thinkers. The problem is of course economic pressure puts these short term thinking spam miners in a stronger position.
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> There may not be many oversized op returns to begin with
In total, there are about 10**4 op_returns on the blockchain of size 76 bytes
For 77 byte op_returns, the count is also ~10**4 (i.e. ~10k)
For 78 byte op_returns, the count is also ~10**4 (i.e. ~10k)
For 79 byte op_returns, the count is also ~10**4 (i.e. ~10k)
For 80 byte op_returns, the count is slightly higher: ~10**4.1 (i.e. ~13k)
For 81 byte op_returns, the total count is 9. Not 9k, *9 in total.*
That's the data for the last 16 years, which I hope is a long enough time frame for you.
Why do you suppose there is a huge drop from tens of thousands to 9?