๐๐ผ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ต ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ถ๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป'๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ?
๐๐ฏ ๐ฆ๐น๐ค๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฑ๐ต ๐ง๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ฉ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฑ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฐ๐ง โ21 ๐๐ถ๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ดโ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ญ๐ฅโ๐ด ๐ง๐ช๐ณ๐ด๐ต #Ai-๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ๐ฅ #Bitcoin ๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ฌ.
This question seems to be on everyoneโs minds these days. In โ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐โ, youโll read answers from @Knut Svanholm โ/21M, @Guy Swann, and @ck, that will give you a thorough perspective of Bitcoinโs future value.
Below is CK Snarksโ answer, as written in โ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐โ:
๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐โ ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ:
The question at hand is not merely about Bitcoin's price but rather its buying power in a scenario of ultimate success, commonly referred to as "Hyperbitcoinization." To address this, several key considerations must be taken into account:
๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ด๐บ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ง๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ต๐ป๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐
Firstly, it is crucial to establish whether Bitcoin represents a paradigm shift in monetary technology. If it does, speculating on its future value becomes an exceedingly complex task. The difficulty lies in the fact that we are attempting to measure Bitcoin's value in a world that has fully adopted it as the base measure of value.
๐๐ถ๐บ๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ
The challenge of predicting Bitcoin's future value is compounded by our current limitations in understanding. It is akin to expecting someone from 1928 to predict today's stock market value. Our collective knowledge lacks the context to comprehend a future with a perfect and unmanipulable value communication system like Bitcoin, especially when we are accustomed to valuing assets in terms of fiat currencies like the U.S. Dollar.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ฐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ป๐ป๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
To accurately predict Bitcoin's buying power in a hyperbitcoinization scenario, one would need to forecast the trajectory of human innovation over a 50-100 year timescale and then apply that to Bitcoin's monetary policy. This is a feat that very few, if any, can accomplish. Nikola Tesla, who was exceptionally bullish on the potential of electricity, serves as a rare example of someone who might have had the foresight to predict such a paradigm shift.
๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐
The most pragmatic approach is to aim for directional correctness based on reasonable expectations of human progress. Given the acceleration of informational technology and computational processing power, it is reasonable to expect that human progress will continue to accelerate. Therefore, Bitcoin's price could be conceptualized as a function of human progress divided by its total supply of 2.1 quadrillion satoshis.
In conclusion, while it is nearly impossible to predict the exact future value of Bitcoin, it is feasible to suggest that its value will be intrinsically tied to the rate of human progress and innovation.
Christian Keroles, known in Bitcoin circles as "CK," has been a passionate and dedicated advocate for Bitcoin throughout his career. He currently holds the role of Director of Financial Freedom at the Human Rights Foundation, focusing on advancing open-source Bitcoin development and global Bitcoin adoption.
In his prior position as Chief Operating Officer (COO) at BTC Inc, CK was instrumental in shaping Bitcoin Magazine into the foremost publication dedicated to all things Bitcoin. He also played a pivotal role in establishing one of the world's largest and most influential conferences in the Bitcoin and fintech industriesโthe Bitcoin Conference.
CK is a sought-after speaker at industry events, where he shares his thoughts and insights on Bitcoin through his written works and interviews.
Preorder your copy of โ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐โ, and ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฝ ๐๐ผ ๐ด๐ฌ%, by contributing to our @Geyser initiative:
๐๐ ๐ฆ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐โ ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ:
The question at hand is not merely about Bitcoin's price but rather its buying power in a scenario of ultimate success, commonly referred to as "Hyperbitcoinization." To address this, several key considerations must be taken into account:
๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ด๐บ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐ง๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ต๐ป๐ผ๐น๐ผ๐ด๐
Firstly, it is crucial to establish whether Bitcoin represents a paradigm shift in monetary technology. If it does, speculating on its future value becomes an exceedingly complex task. The difficulty lies in the fact that we are attempting to measure Bitcoin's value in a world that has fully adopted it as the base measure of value.
๐๐ถ๐บ๐ถ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ
The challenge of predicting Bitcoin's future value is compounded by our current limitations in understanding. It is akin to expecting someone from 1928 to predict today's stock market value. Our collective knowledge lacks the context to comprehend a future with a perfect and unmanipulable value communication system like Bitcoin, especially when we are accustomed to valuing assets in terms of fiat currencies like the U.S. Dollar.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ฐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ป๐ป๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
To accurately predict Bitcoin's buying power in a hyperbitcoinization scenario, one would need to forecast the trajectory of human innovation over a 50-100 year timescale and then apply that to Bitcoin's monetary policy. This is a feat that very few, if any, can accomplish. Nikola Tesla, who was exceptionally bullish on the potential of electricity, serves as a rare example of someone who might have had the foresight to predict such a paradigm shift.
๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐
The most pragmatic approach is to aim for directional correctness based on reasonable expectations of human progress. Given the acceleration of informational technology and computational processing power, it is reasonable to expect that human progress will continue to accelerate. Therefore, Bitcoin's price could be conceptualized as a function of human progress divided by its total supply of 2.1 quadrillion satoshis.
In conclusion, while it is nearly impossible to predict the exact future value of Bitcoin, it is feasible to suggest that its value will be intrinsically tied to the rate of human progress and innovation.
Christian Keroles, known in Bitcoin circles as "CK," has been a passionate and dedicated advocate for Bitcoin throughout his career. He currently holds the role of Director of Financial Freedom at the Human Rights Foundation, focusing on advancing open-source Bitcoin development and global Bitcoin adoption.
In his prior position as Chief Operating Officer (COO) at BTC Inc, CK was instrumental in shaping Bitcoin Magazine into the foremost publication dedicated to all things Bitcoin. He also played a pivotal role in establishing one of the world's largest and most influential conferences in the Bitcoin and fintech industriesโthe Bitcoin Conference.
CK is a sought-after speaker at industry events, where he shares his thoughts and insights on Bitcoin through his written works and interviews.
Preorder your copy of โ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐โ, and ๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฝ ๐๐ผ ๐ด๐ฌ%, by contributing to our @Geyser initiative:
Geyser | Bitcoin Crowdfunding Platform
A Bitcoin crowdfunding platform where creators raise funds for causes, sell products, manage campaigns, and engage with their community.
Pi represents an ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐๐๐ฎ๐ป๐, a number that is both infinite in its decimal representation and transcendent in its nature.
Similarly, #Bitcoin represents a new ๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ข๐ญ ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ต๐ข๐ฏ๐ต in the digital and economic realms.
Both Pi and Bitcoin symbolize ๐ต๐๐บ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐๐, and our quest for understanding, order, and stability within both mathematical and economic systems.
Bitcoin's philosophical underpinnings have a strong influence on people's incentives and decision-making beyond just matters related to money. By understanding the importance of low time preference, or delayed gratification, ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐๐ฎ๐น๐ ๐ผ๐ณ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ผ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฟ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ณ๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐.
For example, the emphasis on decentralized systems in Bitcoin's ethos ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฝ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ผ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐พ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ต๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ผ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐น๐ถ๐ณ๐ฒ, such as governance, education, and technology. This shift in mindset can lead to a greater demand for transparency, accountability, and individual sovereignty across different sectors.
As more individuals adopt the principles espoused by Bitcoin, there can be expected to be a cultural shift towards ๐ด๐ฆ๐ญ๐ง-๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ด๐ช๐ฃ๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ, ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ท๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ, and ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐จ-๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฌ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ. This could result in a society that values independence, critical thinking, and resilience, ultimately impacting decision-making processes in a wide range of contexts.
In conclusion, while the immediate impact of Bitcoin's philosophy may be more pronounced in matters directly related to money, its broader implications on individuals' incentives and decision-making can potentially lead to ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐ป ๐ผ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ, ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ด๐น๐-๐๐ป๐ฟ๐ฒ๐น๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฟ ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐, and in society as a whole.
Give this a ๐๐ถ๐ธ๐ฒ๐ค, a ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐, and ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ๐บ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ this for later.
How has Bitcoin changed you?
Let me know in the ๐๐ผ๐บ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐โฌ๏ธ
๐๐ป๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ต๐ผ๐น๐บโ๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ:
Since the only way to get something out of your bitcoin holdings is to trade them away for goods or services, there are no ways for the filthy rich to leverage their stacks. At least not in the long run. Anyone on Earth with a smartphone can easily accept sats for anything by simply downloading an app. Furthermore, on-chain data show us that addresses with one bitcoin or less are growing in number while addresses with 10,000 bitcoin or more are shrinking in number.
Knut Svanholm is a former sea captain whose biggest claim to fame is the infamous bitcoin meme "Everything divided by 21 million", which is also the title of his best-selling book.
Nowadays, he spends his time hosting the Freedom Footprint Show and advising a handful of Bitcoin companies and non-profit organizations.
He recently wrote a book about praxeology โ the science of human action.
Occasionally, you'll find him entertaining people at conferences by speaking, playing guitar, moderating panels, or reciting inappropriate dad jokes to the wrong people.
You can count on Knut to deliver a healthy dose of real stupidity amidst the AI revolution.
Each chapter begins with one of the most pertinent questions about Bitcoin, and is answered by some of the best and brightest Bitcoin plebs, including
Bitcoin's evolution showcases ๐๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐๐ต in adoption and price, distinct from the short-lived 17th-century tulip mania. Its rise mirrors that of leading tech firms, driven by ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ถ๐ด๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฃ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ and ๐ช๐ฏ๐ค๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ข๐ค๐ค๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ต๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ among merchants and institutions, positioning it as a significant digital currency.
Bitcoin's finite supply of 21 million coins, designed to prevent debasement via inflation, alongside its decentralized, secure, and transparent nature, ๐๐ผ๐น๐ถ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ ๐๐ป๐ถ๐พ๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ๐. Its Proof of Work ensures secure, immutable transaction records, operating on a peer-to-peer network that eliminates intermediaries.
Critics often overlook the source of Bitcoin's value: the human desire for their time and labor to be represented in a scarce, divisible, portable, and fungible asset. Bitcoin's digital and decentralized attributes enhance these characteristics, ๐ง๐ถ๐ณ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฐ๐ญ๐ช๐ฅ๐ช๐ง๐บ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ฃ๐ช๐ต๐ค๐ฐ๐ช๐ฏโ๐ด ๐ฑ๐ญ๐ข๐ค๐ฆ ๐ข๐ด ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ฆ.
Bitcoin serves as ๐ฎ ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ด๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฎ๐ถ๐ป๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐๐น๐ป๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐๐๐ฒ๐บ๐, offering a diversification tool against inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical risks. Its independence from conventional financial mechanisms renders it an appealing choice for safeguarding wealth.
In short: Unlike the Tulip Bubble of the 17th century, Bitcoin's ongoing development and inherent qualities firmly establish it as much more than a speculative asset. Its properties and role as a financial system hedge underscore its ๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฒ and ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฒ๐ป๐ฐ๐ฒ in the global economy.