>Write a clear thesis. Give it to the LLM. >Command it to clarify and steelman your claim. >Then command it to critique the claim. >Repeat the cycle until the idea survives attack. You will obtain the best results when you restrict the LLM to a defined grammar, domain, and standard of judgment.

When People Lack Skill, They Mistake Causality for Luck Many people assume outcomes are governed by luck because their understanding, skill, and capacity are too limited to perceive the causal forces at work. When we cannot see the steps and principles governing life, we imagine it is largely up to chance. Every domain has an underlying structure. Experts navigate that structure intentionally, applying knowledge, judgment, and timing to get the results they want. Novices, unable to detect those patterns, watch the same actions and interpret them as luck or fortune. This is a feature of human cognition: low competence reduces our resolution of causal detail. When the details become a blur, events feel unpredictable. We label that uncertainty as "luck" because it is the easiest explanation. The more skill we build, the more we see how outcomes emerge from choices, habits, preparation, and discipline. What once looked like chance becomes transparent, understandable. What once felt arbitrary now becomes controllable. When skill replaces superstition. Understanding replaces luck and capability replaces guesswork. People who cultivate mastery do not rely on luck. At the same time, we must acknowledge that chance is real. Life contains uncertainty, and not every variable is under our command. But the more we believe that our decisions matter, and the more capable we become at making and executing on those decisions, the more we expand the sphere of our control. Agency is the ability to turn our intentions into outcomes of our choosing. In difficult environments, where threats are high and opportunities scarce, only those with highly developed agency can consistently move forward. When life is hard, it is not luck that separates people. It is the degree of control they cultivate over themselves and their choices. I will teach you how to develop your agency.

This is what I call a spirtually gay marriage. This dude wants another dude to split his bills with and not a wife to have children and start a family with. He missed the whole point of marriage. Married men, do not treat you wife like she is a man.

Most men today are less successful than they could be. The cause is not primarily the external decay of the world around them. It is largly internal and institutional. Most young men today are not part of anything. They are rootless, unaffiliated, and invisible to the networks that create opportunity, accountability, and trust. A man without a brotherhood cannot scale his value. Alone, he bears all risk and receives none of the compound benefits that group affiliation produces. Clouds of unaffiliated, disconnected, underperforming men lead to the types of societies we see today. I believe that situation is responsible for the recent decay in civilization, and the narrowing opportunities that young men face are the result of this disconnection. Throughout history, men inherited their fathers’ memberships, guilds, churches, fraternities, regiments. Those memberships transmitted reputation, skills, and alliances. They disciplined behavior and elevated the average man into a functional hierarchy of responsibility. Modern men, cut off from those structures, attempt to compete as atomized individuals in a system designed for coordinated tribes. The result is predictable: instability, resentment, and loss of agency. This is especially true among white men who have been conditioned to believe that they are not allowed to form fraternal groups, and that associating with members of their own tribe or heritage is immoral. Power in any civilization flows through networks. It circulates within the nodes that generate value, trust, and coordination. Any organization of lasting power must direct its energy to the nodes that yield the greatest return. Therefore, if a man is not part of a network, no power flows to him; he cannot invest, multiply, or influence. If he is part of a network, the more effectively he amplifies its strength, the more power he receives in return. This principle is amoral. The morality of power can be discussed only by those who possess it. Those without it, detached from any cooperative structure, lack the context to judge power competently, because its operation is foreign to them. This is why the Modern Minuteman movement exists. @bierlingm, myself and others are reviving the ancient logic of the Mannerbund in contemporary form: small, peer-based groups of men who train, cooperate, and build together for mutual benefit. Not militias in the narrow sense, but brotherhoods dedicated to discipline, production, and reciprocal insurance. A Minuteman group restores visibility, restores belonging, and restores the feedback loop that produces competence and trust in men. The corollary for women is equally clear. Women do not require groups to attract men, but to protect and guide them in choosing among men. A female network, family, congregation, or sisterhood, exists to filter, vet, and shield against unworthy or dangerous suitors. Without such a circle, women face an unregulated market of false signals and manipulation. Female institutions historically existed to prevent this. Their absence today exposes women to psychological and social harm. A civilization endures when men are bound by brotherhoods that discipline them and women are supported by sisterhoods that protect them. The man without a brotherhood becomes unstable. The woman without a sisterhood becomes vulnerable. The society without both becomes infertile. Join us at: https://moritzbierling.com/website/crew-campaign Use my code: REVOY

Avoid hardening your woman Facing suffering, hardship, tests, trials, violence, and struggles makes us men more masculine and tough. We grow up and get better by doing hard things. Women are not like us. They are not meant to face the harshness of the world. Both men and women grow up to maturity through taking on responsibilities. However, the optimal set of responsibilities that causes a man to grow up and the set that causes a woman to grow up are different. Women mature by carefully guarding their value from damage or erosion. Protecting the fragile nature of femininity and learning to transmute the raw value men provide into even more valuable things (a house into home, food into a mean, sperm into a baby, etc.). Women have three times the touch sensors in their thinner, softer skin. Their bones are more fragile, they have less muscle mass, and their more sensitive CNS can't take the same stimulation as ours. They need more sleep than we do. Estrogen causes emotional rollercoasters. Women are the "weaker vessel." Almost every young woman is feminine. It's in their nature. But a harsh life, a lack of fatherly protection, fending off attention from low-value men, battling with men in the workplace, or facing the same challenges that make a man better will beat that lovely softness out of her. We are not the same. Masculine men want a sweet, soft, feminine woman. But you can't have that if you assign her a role in the family that overburdens her and causes her to be in a masculine frame for hours a day, leaving her exhausted. Women are capable of being very tough, but the cost or doing that is giving up their femininity. Yes, it's not fair. Your woman needs better treatment than you do. Just as your children need even better treatment than she does. If that bothers you, marriage, women, and children are not for you. None of this is about providing her with luxury. Women don't need luxury to be feminine and its likely to be harmful to them and your children in the long term. You also don't need to spend large amounts of money to care for her. Money can help, and outsourcing support for your wife is a viable solution when you lack a supportive extended family. For example I have hired a full-time maid for my wife for several years now. Giving your wife good treatment is about how you interact with her and the world you create for her. Are you a source of leadership, authority, protection, comfort, strength, and support for your wife? Do you help her when she is overwhelmed? That's the way to care for a woman. Both men and women thrive when we have a cognitive load to carry, but the optimal load tends to differ. While there is overlap, women do best when they are busy, loaded up, and responsible for things that appeal to women and are suited to their strengths, feminine things. Let her be busy with the useful things she is best suited for. If you are a woman reading this, please pay attention to the men you date and their attitudes about taking care of their women and eventual children. If you need help evaluating a man, DM me with the details, and I will give you expert advice.

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It's ok if someone doesn't like you.

My son came to me and said, “I deleted my video games.” I asked why. He said, “I’m sick of them. They feel like a waste of time.” So I asked, “Describe that feeling.” Because I want him to feel it, to anchor that dissatisfaction deep into his bones. To make it part of who he is. He said, “It just feels like I’m not building anything that lasts. Like nothing is real.” And I told him, “You’re right. It’s not real. That’s the truth of it. Video games give you the illusion of adventure, of utility, of meaning, but none of it lasts. None of it’s real.” He said, “I should use my time for something more productive. I could make something. Do something.” I nodded. “Yes.” Then he said, “I feel kind of sad that I wasted so much time.” I said, “That sadness is normal. It’s the emptiness that comes from not producing anything. You’re becoming a man now, and men can’t feel fulfilled unless they’re building something real. Creating. Contributing. Producing value. That’s your soul calling out for purpose. Same as hunger or thirst.” "What do I do about it?" he asked. I told him, “Once you get back to painting, sculpting, writing, back to school, back to building your life, that emptiness will go away. You’ll feel useful again. You’ll feel alive again.” He thanked me for listening to him. And now he’s adjusting. No more games. Back to reality. Back to meaning. He is currently on the treadmill getting some exercise.

When I first moved from Canada to Portugal, 25 years ago, I tried to be a gentleman. On the narrow beach boardwalks, if I saw elderly women coming the other way, I would step aside and give them space. Instead of gratitude, I heard them muttering in a tone that made it very clear they thought I was an idiot. After a few days, one of them finally stopped me and asked, “What are you doing?” I said, “I’m stepping aside so you can pass.” She shook her head. “No, no. This is a macho country. You are a man, you walk down the middle with your chest out and you take up space. Everyone else gets out of your way.” The next day I saw her again. This time, I walked straight down the middle. She did the same. Narrow boardwalk. Barely room for two. I did not stop. We collided. She landed on her backside in the sand, looked up at me, grinned, and said, “That’s right. That’s what you should be doing.” After that, she and her friends would always move aside when I came down the path. And they did it with approval. It was a shock to me. I grew up with British etiquette drilled into me by my great-grandmother, hold the door, offer your arm, walk properly, speak properly. Portugal had a completely different rule set. The real problem is not which rule set you live under. The problem is when there is no rule set at all. That is what we have now in North America, no clarity, no hierarchy, no reciprocity. If we want respect again, we must enforce our own rules and stick to them. Reciprocity always re-creates order, even if the start feels rough.

I'm at the gym. Look across the room. See dude looking at me and I think, "That dudes jacked." Move my arm. He moves his arm. I realize, that's me. I'm the jacked dude!