I can’t really take bitcoiners cheering on an aggressively expansionist central government seriously. I mean people who like that sort of thing exist and that’s fine and all, but I’ll never respect your larping about decentralisation and freedom after that.

Was straight up not having a good time with whatever the fuck this is just now. UX hell

Back in 2021 I was a big worrying about quantum guy. Would not have worked out well for me if I had leaned into those worries.

Performance update on my OostLog model portfolio (inception: 25 Dec 2025): +5.76%. Off to a good start. I’ll rebalance this occasionally and write about my reasoning here. Starting capital for the portfolio is $1m. Note: my own wealth is actually stored more Bitcoin-heavy than this. This portfolio is intended as a capital-preservation / fiat-markets + hard-assets hybrid, and also as a framework for thinking through investment themes. Housekeeping: LNGR from my original portfolio (longevity) appears to have been delisted. I’m keeping that 2.5% in cash for now, ready to deploy.

Asset allocation themes for 2026

Breaking down my personal investing framework and themes for 2026 and beyond

I secretly counter trade my own kids Pay them pocket money in sats at $125k, they come to me at $95k saying they want to use it to buy some shit Bang, gonna have to transfer me back more sats for that, kid. Better study bitcoin harder next time Thug life

I find that if you tune out the noise and think about markets at the highest positive level in an intuitive way, it’s almost always very clear which way Bitcoin is headed against fiat. 2018-19 - fed starts QT, shitcoin mania obviously got overextended, it can only go one way (down). 2020 - Fed balance sheet is expanding, Fed firing on all cylinders, adoption accelerating, it can only go one way (up). 2021/22 - Fed starts QT, Celsius, FTX etc blowing up, it can only go one way (down). 2023-25 - ETFs pick up steam, it can only go one way (up). 2026 - ETFs to grow and grow, QE to restart, it can only go one way (up). There’s not a pattern, just a few basic drivers. What’s the Fed doing in terms of printing, what does adoption look like and is the crypto market going to shit yes or no. Also learn to look at the monthly candles, so that wicks like Mar20, Aug24, Nov25 don’t distort your perspective. Fuck the traders and their noise

Bitcoin ETFs are a coping mechanism for the masses who know they’ll never be whole coiners

I’ve always been a cold storage “stack it and forget it” Bitcoin guy Only last year I set up wallets for actively spending my Bitcoin (segregated from the main stash for psychological reasons and funded via a low fee cex with little friction in terms of cost and time) Feel like it’s helped me ascend to a deeper understanding of Bitcoin and its future. On the one hand, yeah it IS digital gold and none of us will ever own as much of it as we do today. On the other hand, money must be spent. That’s how Bitcoin wins and how you slowly uncuck yourself

The real fight here imo is about who gets to control the cycle If you keep Fed dominance = asset inflation + controlled CPI + stagnation via engineered busts and risk aversion If you get Treasury calling the shots = weaker USD + perpetual asset inflation + stagnation via asset inflation crowding out productive growth So it’s not really 1970s style inflation, but more 2010–20 on steroids: a long, grinding asset-led inflationary drift

You seen the Powell presser? Probably shouldn’t have sold your Bitcoin no?