Gold just hit $4,643 an ounce. Analysts expect $5,000 this year. Central banks have doubled their gold holdings as a share of reserves over the past decade — the highest level in 30 years. The system producing this outcome is straightforward. The dollar has functioned as the global reserve currency for decades. That status depends on two things: institutional credibility and the perception that dollar-denominated assets are safe. Both are eroding. The Fed's independence is being publicly challenged. US fiscal health is deteriorating. And after Washington froze Russian central bank reserves post-invasion, every sovereign wealth manager on the planet updated their risk model. The result: central banks are quietly moving out of dollars and into gold. Not because gold generates yield — it doesn't. But because gold is nobody's debt. It can't be frozen, sanctioned, or printed. In a world where reserve assets can be weaponized, the oldest store of value becomes the safest. Gold overtook the euro as the second-largest reserve asset last year. The dollar's share of global reserves has slipped from 66% to 57% in a decade. Half of central banks surveyed plan to buy more. The interesting part is not that this is happening. It's that there is no replacement for the dollar — no other fiat currency has the scale. So institutions are defaulting to what Keynes called the 'barbarous relic.' The monetary system is not transitioning to a new anchor. It is slowly losing its current one. Source:
US beef prices hit a record $9.18 per pound. Further increases are expected through 2027. UK has no food security policy. Global agricultural supply chains are being disrupted by climate events, tariffs, and geopolitical friction simultaneously. The shift worth understanding: agriculture is transitioning from a market-driven system to a geopolitical one. Prices for basic commodities like potatoes and onions have hit historical highs not because of supply failures, but because of policy decisions — export bans, shipping tariff spikes, input cost surges driven by energy markets. When food prices respond more to geopolitical events than to harvests, the models that food businesses use to plan break down. Diversification of supply sources becomes a strategic necessity, not just a business optimization. The cost of this transition is being paid at the source — by farmers and producing nations who operate on thin margins and long timelines. The system rewards those who can absorb volatility. That is a shrinking group.