OSINT Update for 16 June 2025
🇪🇺 EU & Crypto Regulation
* MiCA licences: Malta greenlit Gemini, OKX, Crypto.com; Luxembourg set to approve Coinbase—sparking regulatory discord over inconsistency across national authorities.
* Regulatory compliance: Over half of EU blockchain startups now MiCA-registered; smaller firms face licence deadline pressures.
*Draft AI rules: Finalising biometric data protections and facial recognition limits; encryption ban proposals gaining parliamentary traction.
🇷🇺 Russia
* Cyber: Russian APTs ramping up targeted strikes against Ukraine-critical infrastructure; coordinated DDoS efforts increase.
* Drones: Laser-based drone-defence tests continue; Unmanned Systems Regiment staffing progressing.
* Economics: BRICS alliance deepens de-dollarisation; new capital control measures signal further economic isolationism.
🇺🇦 Ukraine
* Drone capabilities: AI upgrade trials underway—several “mother drones” with autonomy tested, but still limited deployment. Domestic VTOL production (e.g. ANT’s MERCURY) progressing. Planned production increase of +40% in 2025.
* Industrial partnerships: Renault invited to build drones in Ukraine—a first for automotive industry in defence space.
* OSINT intelligence: Persistent battlefield drone coverage; Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces expanding with new heavy-attack units.
🇺🇸 USA & Cyber Policy
* Cyber threats: FBI warns of Middle Eastern and Russian threat actors targeting U.S. bases and infrastructure. Trump EO rolls back Biden cyber measures but retains encryption mandates.
* Drone market: Pentagon signals consolidation; fewer but higher-performance small UAV contracts expected.
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