The Cycle is a Trend
* Halving
* 4-year period
* 2 years of Bull Cycle
* 2 years of Bear Cycle
This is the “cycle” that repeats every four years. Correct?
This is the trend, and the trend becomes belief.
Because it becomes belief, it shapes the opinion within the community.
And the community drives the trend based on the belief that past cycle patterns will repeat.
The concept of BTC as a currency free from institutional and governmental interference might be at risk.
Take a look at BTC’s last three booms. Analyze for yourself—2023, 2024, and January 2025.
Was there really no interference from governments and institutions?
Look at the dates and check what was happening on a macro level.
A big coincidence… or rather, three big coincidences?
There have been three cycles in just 14 years of existence, but the first cycle doesn’t count since there was no prior baseline cycle—BTC simply didn’t exist.
So, there were actually only two cycles. And will the “prophecy” repeat itself?
Will it?
