My predictions for this cycle:
1. Bitcoin top October, 2025
2. Diminishing return theory broken (>$280K)
3. Diminishing drawdown in bear market / starting the upward slope of "S-curve" (might even be flat against USD, depending on geopolitics)
4. BTC.D new ATH since 2018 (>75%)
5. ETH will not make new ATH against BTC
6. SOL will not make new ATH against BTC
Lets see how right or wrong this will turn out :)
Polymarket has gained quite a popularity and I always had a feeling that there is something interesting to unpack. Currently I use it as media as people actually put their money where their mouth is.
Yesterday I stumbled upon the concept of futarchy. As weird as it sounds, I actually think itβs a superior way of governance.
Ofc there is a lot of figure out, but itβs the first system of government I can think of where the incentives actually align more or less. Itβs fair, everyone can participate, experts are rewarded and information is aggregated in the market.
What do you think?
Contrarian take - Ledger is more secure than Coldcard.
There are no guarantees than the open-source is actually compiled on a the MCU chip.
The chip secuity infrastucture of BitBox might be the best, but I just donβt like it and it feels like there are some unknown risks of combining both MCU & secure chip for unlocking seed.
PS. I use Coldcard because of air gap, but might switch back. The only thing I hate is that there is no #Bitcoin only Ledger :/
