Markets are drifting out of “fear” and back toward neutral.
Yes, even as equity prices pull back. Price is not the signal here. Flows are.
First, capital is rotating out of the Magnificent 7 and into the rest of the market. This is being framed as “AI bubble fear,” but the behavior matters more than the narrative. Money is not leaving equities. It is reallocating within them.
Second, call volume is starting to outweigh puts. Traders are positioning for upside despite recent declines. That tells you sentiment is already decoupling from price.
Third, and most important, money is moving out of bonds and back into stocks. Credit risk is creeping up. If a credit crunch is even a possibility, long-duration bonds look worse, not safer. Capital still needs a home. It is not going into crypto. By default, it flows into equities.
Context matters. In 2025, we saw roughly 50 days of sustained fear sentiment. During that same period, the NASDAQ Composite rose about 20%. That is not explosive growth. But growth during persistent fear is a tell.
Fear is unstable. It exhausts itself. Neutral is the midpoint, not the destination.
Greed follows.






