was about to curse Harbaugh for punting instead of letting Tucker try the FG, then they get the muffed punt. Hilarious.
The Jaguars got off to a rocky start, but seem to have hit their stride. The Colts are okay, and Gardner Minshew is a competent backup, but this line is small enough to lay the wood at home.
The Texans lost last week, but they were in the game, and they are playing with confidence on both sides of the ball. I like selling the Saints high after an easy blowout win.
Maybe I’m missing something but the Bears and Vikings strike me as roughly equal teams, yet the Bears are getting three at home.
The Bengals feel like a bit of a sucker play as the Seahawks usually show up, and Cincy’s been erratic. But as long as Burrow’s really healthy, I like them at home laying less than three.
Finally, I’m buying the Team low to bounce back after a bad Thursday night game against the Bears.
Ugly
I’m taking the Titans plus four in London. No one is rougher and uglier than they are, and with both teams possibly being out of sorts after the long trip, give me the underdog.
QB1 has played better of late, and the Jets play defense. What’s the point of having an “ugly” entry if you’re not going to use the Jets?
The Bucs have been solid this year, and while the Lions are probably better, laying three on the road is a big ask. The Bucs are also coming off the bye.
I doubled-down on the Texans because I didn’t want to get involved in the double-digit games, and there weren’t enough options left. I could have taken the Rams, but passed.
The Raiders are bad, but the Patriots are worse, and the Belichick premium is a couple years out of date.
I don’t see a pot-odds play here. It’s Bills or Dolphins for me, preferably Bills because the Giants are so decimated, and the 32 percent vs 25 percent doesn’t move the needle much.
If Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley and miraculously Andrew Thomas play, maybe they’d put up a fight against a jet-lagged Bills team, but even then they could lose by double-digits.
The Dolphins are a little more vulnerable if the Panthers defense shows up, but Bryce Young hasn’t shown he can play yet, and the Dolphins move up and down the field with ease.
I wouldn’t use the Rams unless I had to — just not sure who they are yet — and the Cardinals have shown up more often than not.
The Chiefs haven’t played that well of late and face a divisional rival that knows them, with a veteran QB that has some weapons.
The Eagles are on the road, and QB1 hasn’t been terrible his last two games.
The 49ers are good, but if Deshaun Watson is playing, this is a tough spot on the road against the Browns who are coming off a bye.
If I had used the Dolphins and Bills, I’d go Chiefs, and if I had used all three, I’d probably go Rams.