Bitcoin is down over 10% from its August peak of $124K.
Now it’s stuck below $112K… and heading into September, historically its worst month 📉
But this September could break the curse.
Here’s why:
September has been brutal for Bitcoin:
- 9 of the past 14 years closed red
- Average loss: ~12%
This is why traders brace for impact every year.
But 2025 could be different.
Bitcoin continues to attract investors, since january:
- BTC ETFs have seen ~$9B net inflows
- Companies added over 430k BTC to their treasuries
That’s not just inflows. That’s a structural shift.
Macro backdrop:
The Fed is expected to cut rates soon.
That may already be priced in, but it signals the start of a dovish cycle.
Easier money = risk-on.
And historically, Bitcoin loves expanding liquidity.
The risks?
- Trading activity is lighter than usual, that can make price swings sharper.
- Macro and geopolitical situation is still fragile.
But whales are accumulating. Institutions are buying dips.
The downside looks more cushioned than in past Septembers.
Bitcoin testes $106K support, but 2025 feels different.
For long-term hodlers, the real question is: why sell BTC if the trend is still up?
If you need cash, a smarter play might be to collateralize your Bitcoin and borrow what you need, without giving up self-custody 🔒
September has been brutal for Bitcoin:
- 9 of the past 14 years closed red
- Average loss: ~12%
This is why traders brace for impact every year.
But 2025 could be different.
Bitcoin continues to attract investors, since january:
- BTC ETFs have seen ~$9B net inflows
- Companies added over 430k BTC to their treasuries
That’s not just inflows. That’s a structural shift.
Macro backdrop:
The Fed is expected to cut rates soon.
That may already be priced in, but it signals the start of a dovish cycle.
Easier money = risk-on.
And historically, Bitcoin loves expanding liquidity.
The risks?
- Trading activity is lighter than usual, that can make price swings sharper.
- Macro and geopolitical situation is still fragile.
But whales are accumulating. Institutions are buying dips.
The downside looks more cushioned than in past Septembers.
Bitcoin testes $106K support, but 2025 feels different.
For long-term hodlers, the real question is: why sell BTC if the trend is still up?
If you need cash, a smarter play might be to collateralize your Bitcoin and borrow what you need, without giving up self-custody 🔒