Am watching this metric closely…NGP Van is the main app all grassroots progressive campaigns and organizations use… image
"It’s that time of the year again — Republicans are declaring with certainty that they will win the election while Democrats anxiously wait for the sky to crash down on their heads. This happens every election cycle, and the degrees of Republican confidence and Democratic panic are never connected to the polling averages or the facts on the ground. This is the natural state of being for the activists and operatives who occupy both parties. Every Fall, it’s the 'Braggarts' vs. the 'Bedwetters.' Perhaps there is a larger sociological experiment needed to determine why the irrationally confident gravitate to Republican politics and the naturally nervous lean Democratic. Believe it or not, there are strategic reasons why Republicans publicly assert they are winning no matter what the polls say, and Democrats always hypothesize that a stunning defeat is right around the corner. However, this election is unlike any other. The electoral coalitions have shifted, and the Trump campaign did not adjust its playbook to address the new reality."
How Trump's Cockiness Could Cost Him Votes
The GOP loves to pretend they are winning, but Trump has a different challenge
This group account is doing a #fediverse wide push for the #EarlyVote Don’t put it off! Find out where, when, and how to cast your ballot ahead of Election Day at VoteEarlyDay.org and make sure you’re #VoteReady. Once you do vote, post with #IVoted tag and we will boost! #VoteEarlyDay
NEW: Vice President Harris will campaign with the Obamas next week. On Oct. 24, Harris and President Obama will campaign in Georgia. On Oct. 26, Harris and Michelle Obama will campaign in Michigan.
Group update: we just crossed 3,200 followers here! Thanks to you all! Next stop get us to 3,300 --> boost this post to any pro-#KamalaHarris friends you have! Remember: our big goal is it to get to *4,000* total followers by October 29th, #EarlyVotingDay and to organize a fediverse-wide push to #voteearly! Smart field people said that last time the election was won IN OCTOBER by banking so many votes early. Lets do that again! #whenwefightwewin cc: @Laffy
Ignore the polls at this point other than broad trends, and there likely will not be any until election day. A friend described polling now as "basically a random number generator between Harris +2 and Trump +2...just noise about a tied race. Ignore "prediction markets" or "betting markets" even more. It's all now about #VoteEarly and bank the votes. #GOTV #WhenWeFightWeWin "A Mystery $30 Million Wave of Pro-Trump Bets Has Moved a Popular Prediction Market..." https://www.wsj.com/finance/betting-election-pro-trump-ad74aa71?st=SbQdzx&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
AARP polling shows that women over 50, who vote at high rates and feel misunderstood by politicians, have shifted support to Kamala Harris more than any other demographic group.
The 19th
Are women over 50 the critical voter group no one is talking about?
AARP polling shows that these women, who vote at high rates and feel misunderstood by politicians, have shifted support to Kamala Harris more than ...
#Kamalaharris to MAGA hecklers at her rally today: “Oh. You guys are at the wrong rally. I think you meant to go to the smaller one down the street! Good luck.”
"The most important vote US Jews will ever cast...I believe this upcoming election is the most consequential vote Jewish Americans will cast, perhaps in their lifetimes, and again, I cannot remain silent. Jews are safest in a pluralistic society, where democratic institutions and civil rights protections are strong. The brand of authoritarian populism, laced with Christian nationalism and white supremacy that we have seen being normalized by the GOP scares me." https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-most-important-vote-us-jews-will-ever-cast/
North Carolina, your turn! Lets go! #EarlyVote "Amid ongoing Helene recovery, early voting begins in North Carolina..."
ABC News
Amid ongoing Helene recovery, early voting begins in North Carolina
As North Carolinians continue to recover from the devastating impacts of Hurricane Helene, early voting begins Thursday in the critical swing state.