Defense spending requires an adversary but we currently don't have any bordering states seeking such conflict. Instead we're propping up our military industrial complex based on lies and stupid propaganda because some EU elites think war is their way out of years of failure, mismanagement and cleptocracy.
Of course we're being mocked. "Muh terrorists" blew up our critical infrastructure without which we'll be deindustrialized within a few years and we're not even investigating it for real. Whether it was the US or Ukraine (unlikely), no one cares. Germany is moving towards a war economy without any particular neighbour posing a realistic threat unless we keep on supplying long range missiles or even riskier shit to Ukraine just to poke the bear.
It's beyond stupid.
I am definitely a fan of a strong defense being an effective deterrent. That was Western Germany and it worked. If you do not invest enough in defense, you will gain adversaries. You should not wait until the barbarians are at the gates and then scrounge around for bows and arrows. Those bows and arrows have to be ready _before_ the barbarians arrive. And you need to have archers, who are trained to use them. That takes years. You have to be ready years before anyone makes a move.
I also think there is no higher form of cowardice and shamelessness than expecting foreigners to protect you, while you lounge around and wax poetic about world peace, climate change, feminist diplomacy, and how you want to spend the money you save on defense on more vacation days, vegan school lunches, and free bus tickets. As the European NATO has done for decades, with the USA. I think that is incredibly outrageous behavior and the US Presidents have _all_ complained about it, and their complaints are entirely justified.
The only reason they haven't abandoned us, entirely, in exasperation, is because of countries like Poland and the Scandinavians.
I also fail to follow your logic.
We are a protectorate of the world's preeminent military superpower. There are about 100k US soldiers stationed within the EU borders, many near my house in Bavaria. That is why we have no immediate adversaries. Nobody fucks with America.
But they want to reduce that protection and refocus on the Pacific. If they leave, we currently have nothing to replace them with.
You say, we don't need to replace them, as we have no immediate adversaries. But we don't have them because the Americans are here...
What Iβd like to know is which state or group is actually posing a significant threat warranting billions in βdefenseβ spending when the last 3 decades of Bundeswehr funding went down the drain already (G36 not shooting straight, Von der Leyenβs BerateraffΓ€ren, the Puma tank debacle, Bundesrechnungshof warning of basically 0 checks & balances at the Beschaffungsamt, etc). The economy is already nosediving and they had to roll in the previous government last minute just to get that 100 billion funding.
Germany is already part of and surrounded by pseudo-defensive NATO.
What I see is a systemic drain on many western economies by outside forces that you canβt just send a tank to in order to make them stop because theyβre funding the entire enchilada via their moneyprinters and lobbyists.
If you know someone serving in Bundeswehr, ask them some time about their assessment of the defensive capabilities of this country. The Bundeswehr hasnβt been a standalone deterrence since it was founded. Changing that by proclaiming some kind of βZeitenwendeβ is a pipe dream.
We probably don't actually need that many tanks. We need more software engineers, drone pilots, logistics specialists, anti-missile, doctors and medics, specialized cameras with AI, etc.
I agree with you, that a lot of the money is being completely misplaced, and we could probably cut the budget and invest smarter and end up ahead.
The size of the budget, and the purchasing of particular, expensive equipment pieces is perhaps an artifact of keeping the American allies pacified by buying their stuff at inflated prices. Like playing homage as a vassal state.
I actually have a cousin studying military economics. He talks a lot, about misallocation.
This, for me, is a different question than the basic question, of whether we should bother to strengthen our defenses.
I also don't think we need to be a standalone deterrent, but our allies need for us to be earnest and willing to do our part and sacrifice.
French and English look especially trustworthy considering WWII. Just saying.
Sarcasm of course.
I donβt see many allies right now: Biden-era US destroyed the pipelines, Poland applauded, UK/France torpedoed any attempts of ending the Ukraine war, Denmark and Sweden didnβt look too close into the Nordstream explosions until closing the cases.
I still donβt know what nation weβre supposed to defend against because we donβt have anything thatβd be of interest to the single country thatβs being sold as that aggressor. Land? They have plenty. People? Natural resources? Same. Industry? Well, thatβs going downhill quickly without cheap gas.
Everyone looking into NATO history should be very careful about being willing to sacrifice anything for this organization. We wouldnβt have 90% of historic terrorism, especially from the Right, without their GLADIO stay-behind groups and the political climate would be a lot more relaxed without the regime change color revolutions orchestrated by NATO and affiliated & aligned entities.
Germany sent out a warrant, for a Ukrainian they think blew up the pipeline, and Poland refused to extradite him and the US told us to shut up about it. π
Big surprise. Canβt have a patsy say the wrong things in court.
Regime change was more CIA than NATO, as far as I know.
Allies are not friends, of course. A nation has no friends. But not having allies is also generally a bad idea. It's easy to say "we have no allies", but having truly no allies...
And that is the USA under Trump. LOL
My curiosity is piqued, tho. I would love to hear the whole thing.
Libya was mostly NATO though.
True.