>Write a clear thesis. Give it to the LLM. >Command it to clarify and steelman your claim. >Then command it to critique the claim. >Repeat the cycle until the idea survives attack. You will obtain the best results when you restrict the LLM to a defined grammar, domain, and standard of judgment.
When People Lack Skill, They Mistake Causality for Luck Many people assume outcomes are governed by luck because their understanding, skill, and capacity are too limited to perceive the causal forces at work. When we cannot see the steps and principles governing life, we imagine it is largely up to chance. Every domain has an underlying structure. Experts navigate that structure intentionally, applying knowledge, judgment, and timing to get the results they want. Novices, unable to detect those patterns, watch the same actions and interpret them as luck or fortune. image This is a feature of human cognition: low competence reduces our resolution of causal detail. When the details become a blur, events feel unpredictable. We label that uncertainty as "luck" because it is the easiest explanation. The more skill we build, the more we see how outcomes emerge from choices, habits, preparation, and discipline. What once looked like chance becomes transparent, understandable. What once felt arbitrary now becomes controllable. When skill replaces superstition. Understanding replaces luck and capability replaces guesswork. People who cultivate mastery do not rely on luck. At the same time, we must acknowledge that chance is real. Life contains uncertainty, and not every variable is under our command. But the more we believe that our decisions matter, and the more capable we become at making and executing on those decisions, the more we expand the sphere of our control. Agency is the ability to turn our intentions into outcomes of our choosing. In difficult environments, where threats are high and opportunities scarce, only those with highly developed agency can consistently move forward. When life is hard, it is not luck that separates people. It is the degree of control they cultivate over themselves and their choices. I will teach you how to develop your agency.
image Most men today are less successful than they could be. The cause is not primarily the external decay of the world around them. It is largly internal and institutional. Most young men today are not part of anything. They are rootless, unaffiliated, and invisible to the networks that create opportunity, accountability, and trust. A man without a brotherhood cannot scale his value. Alone, he bears all risk and receives none of the compound benefits that group affiliation produces. Clouds of unaffiliated, disconnected, underperforming men lead to the types of societies we see today. I believe that situation is responsible for the recent decay in civilization, and the narrowing opportunities that young men face are the result of this disconnection. Throughout history, men inherited their fathersโ€™ memberships, guilds, churches, fraternities, regiments. Those memberships transmitted reputation, skills, and alliances. They disciplined behavior and elevated the average man into a functional hierarchy of responsibility. Modern men, cut off from those structures, attempt to compete as atomized individuals in a system designed for coordinated tribes. The result is predictable: instability, resentment, and loss of agency. This is especially true among white men who have been conditioned to believe that they are not allowed to form fraternal groups, and that associating with members of their own tribe or heritage is immoral. Power in any civilization flows through networks. It circulates within the nodes that generate value, trust, and coordination. Any organization of lasting power must direct its energy to the nodes that yield the greatest return. Therefore, if a man is not part of a network, no power flows to him; he cannot invest, multiply, or influence. If he is part of a network, the more effectively he amplifies its strength, the more power he receives in return. This principle is amoral. The morality of power can be discussed only by those who possess it. Those without it, detached from any cooperative structure, lack the context to judge power competently, because its operation is foreign to them. This is why the Modern Minuteman movement exists. @bierlingm, myself and others are reviving the ancient logic of the Mannerbund in contemporary form: small, peer-based groups of men who train, cooperate, and build together for mutual benefit. Not militias in the narrow sense, but brotherhoods dedicated to discipline, production, and reciprocal insurance. A Minuteman group restores visibility, restores belonging, and restores the feedback loop that produces competence and trust in men. The corollary for women is equally clear. Women do not require groups to attract men, but to protect and guide them in choosing among men. A female network, family, congregation, or sisterhood, exists to filter, vet, and shield against unworthy or dangerous suitors. Without such a circle, women face an unregulated market of false signals and manipulation. Female institutions historically existed to prevent this. Their absence today exposes women to psychological and social harm. A civilization endures when men are bound by brotherhoods that discipline them and women are supported by sisterhoods that protect them. The man without a brotherhood becomes unstable. The woman without a sisterhood becomes vulnerable. The society without both becomes infertile. Join us at: Use my code: REVOY
Do any of you have a Ledger discount or affiliate code?
When I first moved from Canada to Portugal, 25 years ago, I tried to be a gentleman. On the narrow beach boardwalks, if I saw elderly women coming the other way, I would step aside and give them space. Instead of gratitude, I heard them muttering in a tone that made it very clear they thought I was an idiot. After a few days, one of them finally stopped me and asked, โ€œWhat are you doing?โ€ I said, โ€œIโ€™m stepping aside so you can pass.โ€ She shook her head. โ€œNo, no. This is a macho country. You are a man, you walk down the middle with your chest out and you take up space. Everyone else gets out of your way.โ€ image The next day I saw her again. This time, I walked straight down the middle. She did the same. Narrow boardwalk. Barely room for two. I did not stop. We collided. She landed on her backside in the sand, looked up at me, grinned, and said, โ€œThatโ€™s right. Thatโ€™s what you should be doing.โ€ After that, she and her friends would always move aside when I came down the path. And they did it with approval. It was a shock to me. I grew up with British etiquette drilled into me by my great-grandmother, hold the door, offer your arm, walk properly, speak properly. Portugal had a completely different rule set. The real problem is not which rule set you live under. The problem is when there is no rule set at all. That is what we have now in North America, no clarity, no hierarchy, no reciprocity. If we want respect again, we must enforce our own rules and stick to them. Reciprocity always re-creates order, even if the start feels rough.
I'm at the gym. Look across the room. See dude looking at me and I think, "That dudes jacked." Move my arm. He moves his arm. I realize, that's me. I'm the jacked dude!
When you are in a relationship and something needs to be done, whether it is resolving a conflict or seizing an opportunity, and you have multiple paths forward, how do you decide which option to take? How do you determine what is good for both you and your wife? My position is simple: as a man, always choose the option that puts you in the role of decision-maker. Do not be passive. That is the posture of leadership. When you decide, you lead. And when you lead, you bear the greatest share of responsibility, and thus gain the greatest control over the outcome. Look at any situation and ask: Which path places the most responsibility on me? Then choose that one.
Less YouTube and Video Games For Kids Most parents I speak with worry about how their kids spend their summer holidays. Too often, the default is endless video games, where nothing tangible remains at the end of the day. I wanted something better for my 12-year-old son. So I created what we now call his Summer Mission Plan. Here is how it works: - I designed a list of creative, exploratory, outdoor, and practical activities, each framed as a mission with a clear time block. These go into a binder for him to reference. - Every mission ends with proof of accomplishment, a photo, video, story, or artwork, which he emails to me. This creates a permanent archive of his summer, unlike video games where progress disappears. - Examples include: building unique LEGO creations and writing descriptions as if they were in a museum, turning hand-drawn sketches into professional digital art with AI prompts, making stop-motion films, running science experiments, documenting our hikes with photos and captions, writing letters to cousins, and even household chores reframed as heroic quests. Why do this? Because children need more than entertainment, they need purposeful activity that leaves a trail of memory and mastery. By the end of summer, my son will have not just stories, but a portfolio of his creations and contributions. He will also have practiced good digital habits, like saving his best AI prompts for future use. Other parents can adapt this easily. Think about your childโ€™s tools and interests: LEGO, clay, paints, books, hikes, or a camera phone. Frame each activity as a mission, give it a time boundary, and make sure there is always a physical or digital record at the end. Then, require them to send it by email, this builds accountability and ensures the memories are preserved. Entertainment is easy. Accomplishment is lasting. If you want your childโ€™s summer to mean something, give them missions that build both joy and legacy. image
Every young man should have a hard, dirty job in his late teens. Start at sixteen or seventeen during the summers. Shovel gravel. Haul lumber. Dig trenches. Stack crates in a warehouse or under a blazing sun. Work alongside other men. Get blisters. Get a tan. Bleed. Operate tools. Push through fatigue. Learn how to keep going when everything hurts. That kind of work recalibrates a young man. It teaches him how the world works. He learns how to manage risk. It humbles the ego. It strengthens the will. And when he later moves into more intellectual work, heโ€™ll carry the weight of that discipline with him. Heโ€™ll be grounded in reality. Heโ€™ll respect the people who keep the world running. For blue-collar men, this work may become a permanent path. For others, it becomes part of their foundation. Either way, it builds the man. For women, the equivalent is care. Caring for children. Helping the elderly. Supporting a relative. Babysitting or assisting in a daycare. The act of nurturing life shapes them. It brings out their natural strength. It teaches patience, empathy, and the quiet endurance that holds families together. Both paths form the soul. One through hardship. One through love. image