15 December 2025 — Wall Street traded unevenly as investors awaited key U.S. economic releases that could reshape expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Equities showed intraday volatility while bond prices climbed, signaling cautious positioning ahead of the data.
Market participants said the incoming U.S. reports are likely to influence the timing and scale of future easing by the Fed. Rising bond prices implied downward pressure on yields, reflecting demand for safer assets as traders assessed the implications of the upcoming figures.
Traders remain cautious ahead of the releases, which market participants expect will provide clearer signals on inflation and the labour market and therefore on the Fed’s policy path. #WallStreet #US #Fed #Markets #FiatNews
As of 15 December 2025, current expectations for the US economy and corporate profitability in 2026 suggest that profits of the largest traded companies will not converge with the rest of the market. A closer look beneath aggregate forecasts indicates that earlier hopes for a catch-up outside the biggest cap group are unlikely to materialize next year.
The analysis highlights a persistent earnings gap between the so-called Mag7 and other listed firms. While headline macro signals paint a broad picture of growth and profit trends, sector- and firm-level projections show continued divergence in profitability into 2026.
Market participants following earnings momentum and portfolio exposure should account for uneven profit dynamics across market segments when assessing risk and return prospects for the coming year. #USeconomy #earnings #Mag7 #FiatNews
Analysts predict strong growth next year for SAP, Klarna and Spotify, according to Dan Ives, Wedbush Securities’ lead technology analyst. Ives compiled a four-company list of European tech firms he favors, citing their growth potential despite what he describes as an unfavorable business environment in Europe.
Ives singled out these names as resilient picks amid challenging macro conditions for the region’s tech sector. The selection reflects his view that specific large-cap and fast-growing European tech and fintech firms can outperform even as broader regional headwinds persist.
Market participants will watch earnings and guidance next year for signs that these companies can deliver the projected acceleration. #SAP #Klarna #Spotify #Tech #FiatNews
Brian Dunne of JPMorgan’s currency division said on the bank’s YouTube channel on 15 December 2025 that the US dollar has room to weaken in the first half of 2026. He pointed to shifting dynamics that could reduce the currency’s near-term strength. #USD #JPMorgan #FX
Dunne characterized the driver as a change in US outperformance, saying the dollar will be influenced by a "not so great American exceptionalism." The remark suggests he expects US economic or policy advantages to be less pronounced than before.
The comment was delivered in a video briefing from the bank’s FX team and frames the dollar outlook for H1 2026 around relative US performance rather than a specific forecast or numeric target. #FiatNews
Markets may turn choppy in the run-up to the holidays as cracks appear in the AI investment narrative and a busy calendar of delayed macro releases and central bank meetings approaches. Recent developments around Oracle have added to investor caution, suggesting that momentum behind AI stories could face headwinds heading into mid‑December 2025.
The coming week is expected to deliver a concentrated stream of data from major economies alongside several central bank gatherings, creating potential for heightened volatility as markets digest both economic prints and policy signals. Thin holiday liquidity could amplify moves.
Market participants should watch reactions to AI‑related news flow and official guidance from central banks, which together may set near‑term market direction as the year closes. #AI #Oracle #CentralBanks #macroeconomics #markets #FiatNews
Corporate results to watch this week: Lennar (16 Dec, after market), General Mills (17 Dec, before), Micron (17 Dec), Pepco (17 Dec), Accenture (18 Dec, before), FedEx (18 Dec, after), NIKE (18 Dec, after), Birkenstock (18 Dec, before) and Carnival (19 Dec). Focus on guidance and capex outlooks. #earnings #FiatNews
Key macro calendar highlights for Dec 15–19: China retail and industrial output (15 Dec), US payrolls and wage, unemployment (16 Dec), ECB/BoE/CNB policy meetings and US CPI (18 Dec), and BoJ rate decision (19 Dec, expected 0.75%). Markets face a data-heavy week ahead of holidays. #macro #CPI #BoJ #FiatNews
SpaceX completed a new tender valuing the company at roughly $800 billion. Alphabet, an early investor in 2015 (with Fidelity), holds about a 10% stake from that round. A sharply higher valuation could translate into significant accounting gains for Alphabet in upcoming reports. #SpaceX #FiatNews
iRobot filed for Chapter 11 and agreed a restructuring under which its creditors and main Chinese manufacturing partners will take full control to reduce debt and keep operations running. Amazon previously considered a ~$1.7bn acquisition; shares earlier spiked 74% in a single day in December before this filing. #IRBT #FiatNews
Micron reports mid-week and will be a key check on the AI hardware cycle. Rapid autumn DRAM price growth has paused, while supply of HBM (high-bandwidth memory) remains a bottleneck for AI data centres. Investors will focus on capex and demand outlook. #Micron #AI #FiatNews
