There is now a prediction market for what date the reduce data size soft fork activation client will go live!
This one has less liquidity, as its easy to game since @Bitcoin Mechanic can use insider info and make a bet to gurantee he wins the bet, but fun nonetheless!
Right now December 31st 2025 is the leader at 65%!

Predyx | Advanced Prediction Markets with Lightning Network
What date will the "Reduce Data Temporary Soft Fork" activation client release date be closest to (UTC Time)?
To qualify as an activation client, it must have an established block height or time in which the client will explicitly reject blocks which are cu...

