In the next couple of weeks ALL wall street firms with Bitcoin exposure - AND treasury companies - will announce their unrealised loss for Q4 of 2025. When that FUD hits the news remember, almost all of them are in the green down to ~60k. It's end of the year "accounting magic". Once that's done watch how Bitcoin will magically do it's thing again.
I'll leave this here for now so I can get back to it later when their numbers drop.
Baseline:
โ Uses last known average acquisition costs disclosed by firms
โ ETFs assumed to track spot (unrealised P/L โ neutral)
โ โUnrealised lossโ only counted where avg dollar cost > $87,140
๐ข Public Bitcoin Treasury Companies
โ MicroStrategy (MSTR)
โ Avg cost est.: ~$35โ40k
โ BTC held: ~190k+
โ Unrealised loss: $0 (large unrealised gain)
โ Tesla (TSLA)
โ Avg cost est.: ~$43k
โ BTC held: ~9.7k
โ Unrealised loss: $0
โ Coinbase (COIN)
โ Avg cost est.: <$30k
โ BTC held: ~9k
โ Unrealised loss: $0
โ Marathon Digital (MARA)
โ Avg cost est.: <$25k (mined BTC)
โ BTC held: ~16k+
โ Unrealised loss: $0
โ Riot Platforms (RIOT)
โ Avg cost est.: <$20k (mined BTC)
โ BTC held: ~8k+
โ Unrealised loss: $0
โ Block Inc. (SQ)
โ Avg cost est.: ~$31k
โ BTC held: ~8k
โ Unrealised loss: $0
Subtotal (Public Treasuries):
โ Estimated unrealised loss: $0
๐งพ Spot Bitcoin ETF Firms
โ IBIT (BlackRock)
โ Holdings valued at NAV
โ Unrealised loss: ~$0
โ FBTC (Fidelity)
โ Holdings valued at NAV
โ Unrealised loss: ~$0
โ GBTC (Grayscale)
โ Holdings marked to market
โ Unrealised loss: ~$0
โ (Discount/premium is not an unrealised BTC loss)
โ ARKB / BITB / HODL / BTCO (Others)
โ Spot-backed, market-priced
โ Unrealised loss: ~$0
Subtotal (ETFs):
โ Estimated unrealised loss: $0
๐งฎ Aggregate Estimate
โ Total unrealised loss (public BTC holders + ETFs):
โ โ $0
At $87k BTC, virtually all major public holders are deeply in profit, not underwater.